Make today’s decisions with a clear view of future aircraft
Gain an independent view of future fleet demand, market growth and industry change to support investments, strategy and long-term aircraft decisions with Cirium Fleet Forecast.
Request the Executive Summary
Read the free Executive Summary for an overview of the forecast and the trends to watch.
Predicting the future fleet is harder than ever
Long-term aviation decisions are being made in an environment shaped by uncertainty. Fleet renewals, production constraints, demand shifts, emerging markets, sustainability pressures and changing operating models will continue to reshape how the commercial aviation market evolves over the next 20 years.
OEMs, MROs, financial institutions, government bodies and advisory teams across aviation face critical questions:
- How large will the global fleet become?
- Which regions will drive future growth?
- Where will aircraft demand emerge?
- How quickly will fleets modernize?
- What assumptions should underpin long-term planning and investment decisions
- How could industry disruption reshape future demand?
Without a trusted long-term outlook, organizations risk relying on shorter term trends, fragmented market intelligence and internal assumptions that have not been tested against the wider market.
Cirium Fleet Forecast brings fleet developments into focus, helping organizations understand what could change, where opportunities may emerge and what those developments could mean for their strategy.
Navigate long-term uncertainty with a trusted view of future aircraft
Pressure test supply chain and production assumptions. Validate long-term demand, fleet and delivery projections against an independent market outlook to strengthen production planning, supply chain alignement and capacity decisions.
Justify investment and CAPEX decisions with confidence. Support aircraft, engine, manufacturing and infrastructure investment cases with credible forecasts for future fleet growth, replacement cycles and market demand.
Plan program liquidity and asset strategy. Understand how fleets will evolve over time to inform portfolio planning, aircraft availability, asset values and long-term liquidity strategies.
Align next generation product and technology roadmap. Anticipate future fleet requirements, replacement demand and market shifts to help prioritize product development, technology investments and strategic innovation.
Why Cirium Fleet Forecast?
This is not a normal forecast. Fleet Forecast goes beyond headline market projections with the data and expert context needed to understand where the industry could be heading and why.
Fleet Forecast combines specialist aviation expertise, robust forecasting and detailed fleet intelligence to provide a consistent long-term market view.
With Fleet Forecast, you can access:
- An independent 20-year outlook of the global commercial passenger and freighter aircraft market
- Expert interpretation and context from the award-winning Cirium Ascend Consultancy
- Detailed fleet projections in an interactive tool for scenario planning
- A clear explanation of the data, assumptions and robust methodology
- A consistent external benchmark for internal planning and forecasting
What do you get with Fleet Forecast?
Access the industry’s independent 20-year fleet outlook through detailed forecasts, expert analysis and interactive scenario planning.
Understand the outlook
- Full consultancy report with expert commentary on the date and key market developments
- Breakdown of the outlook, assumptions, data and methodology
Explore the forecast
- Interactive visualizations of fleet, delivery and retirement projections
- Filtered views and explore future fleet scenarios
Work with the raw data
- Full data view for deep analysis and configuration
- Data by region, aircraft types and aircraft series in greater detail
Coming soon:
Engine Shop Visit Forecast
Know what s coming for engine shop visits, before it happens. Plan capacity, reserves and revenue with confidence.