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  • Generative AI: Transforming Data Insights Into Aviation Magic

    Niha Shaikh, VP of Product, Cirium Journey

    “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic”.

    This quote from Arthur C. Clarke rings truer than ever as we experience unprecedented technological advancements. The world we live in today feels almost magical with everything at our fingertips. Gone are the days when a phone call would disrupt your internet connection. Technology is at the heart of everything and with the renewed interest in Artificial Intelligence (AI) due to the rise of generative AI, things have never been so magical!

    Historically, aviation has been a cornerstone of technological innovation, setting the pace for advancements across various domains. We’ve seen the aircraft design evolve from the Wright Flyer to the modern-day jets and witnessed the advancements in avionics, including GPS navigation and autopilot systems that profoundly improved flight safety and operational efficiency. As e-commerce gained traction, the first airline ticket was sold online in 1995. 4 years later, you could check-in online and get your boarding pass. The passenger experience became much more seamless with AI chatbots, multiple booking options and various conveniences. However, as these foundational technologies matured, the pace of innovation in aviation began to slow down compared to the rapid advancements seen in mainstream technology.

    And not all sectors of aviation equally reaped the benefits of new tech. The operational side is still fraught with challenges.

    The logistics of moving goods and people from point A to point B with good performance consistently is extremely challenging as the operational landscape is ever-changing with lots of variables. Working on gut feel is no longer viable given that the global travel and economic landscape is changing rapidly. It is far too time-consuming to look for the needles (useful insights) in a haystack (mountains of data). Airlines and Airports often miss key pieces of context that often contribute to a lack of situational awareness eventually leading to operational inefficiencies. Often, the operations teams struggle to gauge their performance accurately as they lack comparative information from similar days or situations, making it hard to understand their performance within a broader context. The time and effort required to consistently perform a deep multi-layer analysis is often cost-prohibitive. This is compounded with by long feedback loops that make it incredibly challenging to understand the cause and effect of actions taken and decisions made over time.

    In recent years, we have seen a resurgence in aviation innovation with the digital transformation movement that began during the pandemic.

    It continued to gain momentum and was further boosted with the advent of generative AI which lends itself well to the type of use cases that call for dynamic problem solving. This is much needed and timely considering the change in passenger expectations, increasing focus on greener travel and the ever-rising demand. The need for efficiency, and cost reduction, whilst delivering an enhanced passenger experience has never been greater.

    The market for AI-driven decision support tools in aviation is expanding, with airlines, airports, and service providers actively seeking solutions to optimize operations with most major airlines investing heavily in data science and analytics teams, striving to put data at the heart of key organisational decisions. The AI in aviation market was valued at $686.4M in 2022 and is projected to register a CAGR of over 20% each year between 2023 and 2032 (Wadhwani, 2023).  The “Generative AI and Aviation” report by the International Air Transport Association (IATA) showcases that over 40% of its members are interested in leveraging GAI for disruption management-related use cases. While generative AI has seen widespread adoption in customer support, predictive maintenance, and pricing, its integration into operational processes remains slower. How do we unlock the efficiencies in the actual logistics of moving people and goods around?

    Closer collaboration between airlines, airports and technology providers is even more crucial to unlock the data silos where every actor in the system holds a different piece of the overall puzzle. Data sharing, organisation and contextualisation will be key to unlocking the unearned gains and unmet potential in the wider ecosystem. A robust foundation of comprehensive data is needed to support predictive and prescriptive analytics that can truly enhance operations across the ecosystem.

    It has always been said that Data is the new fuel, but Generative AI might just be that brand new engine that harnesses its power and propels the industry to another new era of rapid innovation and seamless experience for the passengers. In another decade or so, the experience of flying could be magical again!

    Bibliography

    *Wadhwani, P. (2023, August). Artificial Intelligence in Aviation Market Size. Retrieved from Global Market Insights : https://www.gminsights.com/industry-analysis/artificial-intelligence-in-aviation-market

  • The CrowdStrike Outage: What Does It Mean for Airlines?

    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing
    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing

    Jim Hetzel, Director of Product Marketing, Cirium

    Key Impacts on Global Aviation

    The recent CrowdStrike IT outage on July 19, 2024, caused significant disruptions across various sectors. The global aviation industry was particularly hard hit, leading to widespread delays and operational challenges worldwide, affecting aviation operations in numerous regions.

    • Europe: Key airports in London, Paris, and Frankfurt were affected, causing a ripple effect through European airspace.
    • North America: Major hubs like Atlanta, New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago saw significant disruptions, affecting both domestic and international flights.
    • Asia-Pacific: Busy transit points such as Tokyo, Singapore, and Sydney experienced significant delays and cancellations, impacting both regional and long-haul flights.
    • Latin America: Airports in cities like São Paulo, Buenos Aires, and Mexico City were not spared, with many flights being delayed or canceled.

    Flight Cancellations

    Airlines around the world, including major carriers like American Airlines, British Airways, Delta Air Lines, Lufthansa, and United Airlines, faced the cancellation of thousands of flights. This widespread disruption affected not only countless passengers but also posed significant operational challenges for the airlines..

    According to Cirium data, out of 411,009 globally scheduled passenger flights over a 72-hour period, approximately 16,896 flights were canceled, representing just over 4% of global flights.

    This cancellation rate was double that of the previous week, which stood at 1.9%.

    Delta Air Lines, for instance, encountered a backlog in customer service and rescheduling, as reported by CNBC. American Airlines faced crew availability and logistical challenges, leading to numerous delays and cancellations, as highlighted by The Wall Street Journal. United Airlines had to navigate a complex web of cancellations and reassignments, straining their resources and impacting overall efficiency, according to Forbes.

    This cascade of disruptions underscores the intricate logistics of the airline industry and the pressing need for robust contingency plans to manage such widespread issues effectively.

    Even flights that were not canceled experienced significant delays. These delays rippled through busy airports, further disrupting scheduled operations and inconveniencing passengers. Travelers found themselves stranded for hours, and in some cases, days, as airlines scrambled to restore their operations. Long waits at terminals, missed connections, and the general uncertainty compounded frustrations, leaving many passengers stressed and exhausted.

    These delays affected not only immediate travel plans but also had lasting impacts on schedules and commitments, emphasizing the necessity for more resilient and responsive airline recovery strategies.

    One of the most immediate and visible impacts of the outage has been the stranding of travelers. Thousands found themselves stuck in airports with limited information on when they might be able to continue their journeys. Many of these travelers were left with no choice but to bed down in the terminals, using makeshift sleeping arrangements as they awaited re-accommodations. The scene was one of frustration and fatigue, as people spread out on benches, floors, and any available space, trying to find some semblance of comfort amid the chaos. Airport staff worked tirelessly to assist and provide updates, but the uncertainty left many feeling anxious and stranded far from their destinations.

    Travel Refunds and Waivers

    To tackle the significant challenges posed by recent travel disruptions and to sustain customer trust, airlines have rolled out a comprehensive strategy including widespread travel refunds, waivers, and vouchers for affected passengers. This proactive approach is vital for maintaining positive customer relations during difficult times.

    Major airlines like American Airlines, British Airways, Delta, Lufthansa, and United not only issued refunds but also introduced flexible rebooking options to accommodate passengers whose travel plans were disrupted. These measures allowed travelers to adjust their itineraries without additional fees, fostering a sense of security and flexibility amid uncertainty.

    While these efforts are necessary for rebuilding and maintaining customer trust, they inadvertently introduced another layer of complexity to the already strained operations of airlines. The influx of refund requests has placed a significant burden on customer service departments, requiring them to manage a high volume of inquiries efficiently. This situation has necessitated the development of streamlined processes to handle rebooking logistics effectively, ensuring that passengers receive timely updates and assistance.

    Beyond managing requests, airlines must ensure clear and informative communication. Keeping passengers informed about their options and refund statuses is crucial to prevent frustration and dissatisfaction.

    Airlines are diligently working to balance addressing immediate customer needs with maintaining operational efficiency, all while adapting to evolving travel regulations and safety protocols.

    These efforts underscore the need for airlines to enhance operational capabilities and customer service strategies. By doing so, they can navigate current complexities and emerge stronger, fostering long-term customer loyalty.

    Industry Response

    The airline industry’s response to the CrowdStrike IT outage has been comprehensive, focusing on managing the immediate crisis while also strategizing for long-term resilience.

    Immediate Measures

    The first line of response was to cancel flights to prevent further complications and manage the surge of stranded travelers in airports. Airlines have also focused on providing timely information and support to affected passengers.

    Compensation

    To maintain customer trust and alleviate frustration, airlines have issued travel refunds, waivers and vouchers. These measures aim to compensate for the inconvenience caused and offer flexibility to passengers whose travel plans have been disrupted.

    Operational Adjustments

    In addition to these compensations, airlines are revisiting their IT infrastructures to prevent future outages. This includes assessing current systems, investing in more robust technologies, and developing contingency plans to ensure smoother operations in the face of similar disruptions.

    What Does a CrowdStrike-type Event Mean for the Airline Industry

    Technology has significantly benefited aviation, enabling it to meet the growing demand for air travel. However, the CrowdStrike IT outage has exposed the industry’s vulnerability due to its heavy dependence on technology. While the immediate priority involves addressing cancellations, delays, and customer compensation, the incident underscores the urgent need for airlines to develop more resilient IT systems.

    To prevent or lessen the effects of technology outages, airlines need to implement several crucial measures:

    • Invest in redundant systems: Airlines must consider implementation of dual or even triple redundancy in their IT infrastructure. This means having backup systems, leveraging different vendors, ready to take over immediately if the primary system fails, ensuring minimal disruption to operations.
    • IT vendor accountability: Airlines are at the mercy of their IT providers in many cases. Implementing more stringent Service Level Agreement’s (SLA)  ensuresIT providers share in the pain and the financial impact that their actions have on their airline customers in terms of operational costs and customer compensation.
    • Enhance cybersecurity measures: Frequent and rigorous cybersecurity assessments and upgrades are essential. Investing in advanced security protocols, including intrusion detection systems, regular vulnerability testing, and employee training on cybersecurity awareness will enable airlines to prevent breaches that could lead to outages.
    • Develop comprehensive response plans: Airlines would benefit by regularly updating incident response plans that detail the procedures to follow during a technology outage. These plans should include clear lines of communication, designated response teams, and step-by-step protocols for managing situations efficiently.
    • Foster inter-departmental collaboration: A technology outage can affect various departments, from operations to customer service. Cultivating closer collaboration between IT, operations, and customer service teams allows airlines to streamline response efforts and ensure everyone is prepared to handle the fallout.
    • Implement continuous monitoring: Proactive monitoring of IT systems can help identify potential issues before they escalate into significant problems. Airlines can leverage real-time analytics to keep an eye on system performance and receive alerts for unusual activity.
    • Testing and simulation exercises: Regularly conducting tests and simulations of systems can prepare airlines for potential outages. These exercises should mimic real-world scenarios to ensure response teams can effectively handle disruptions with minimal impact.
    • Engage with technology partners: Airlines must build closer relationships with their technology providers to ensure they have priority support during outages. This collaboration can lead to quicker resolutions and shared insights on improving system resilience.
    • Educate and train staff: Regular training sessions for employees on emergency protocols and the importance of IT resilience can empower them to act quickly and efficiently during an outage.

    By prioritizing these strategies, airlines can strengthen their technological infrastructure and more effectively manage unexpected disruptions like the CrowdStrike incident. This approach ensures smoother operations and enhances customer satisfaction when facing technology challenges.

  • Cirium & RouteZero Partner to Integrate EmeraldSky for Travel

    Cirium and RouteZero have unveiled a pioneering partnership to integrate Cirium’s EmeraldSky, specifically designed for corporate travel. This innovative offering represents a major leap forward in enabling companies to monitor, improve and report their air travel emissions reductions with unmatched accuracy and transparency.

    RouteZero logo
    RouteZero

    Historically, corporations estimated the environmental impact of their air travel programs using broad assumptions based on scheduled air services. These rough estimates hindered accurate emissions tracking, and the reduction of their carbon footprints, leading to costly offsetting. The new partnership between Cirium and RouteZero transforms this process by offering post-flight emissions monitoring and reporting via EmeraldSky. This service provides precise, actionable insights based on actual flown operations, including the specific aircraft used, load factors, and the fuel consumption and CO2 emissions.

    Through this collaboration, corporations will benefit from highly accurate insights into their air travel emissions, powered by the EmeraldSky emissions system, which is applied after each flight. EmeraldSky is not just another methodology; it is a groundbreaking system that leverages exclusive data from the actual tail number of the aircraft used, incorporating critical details such as aircraft age, engine type, winglets, tarmac time, load factor and flight duration. Combined with our precise methodology tailored for the aviation and aerospace sectors, EmeraldSky has demonstrated an impressive accuracy margin of up to 99% of flown emissions compared to actual airline-recorded fuel and emissions measurements.

    “Leading companies are making radical, proactive changes to the way they travel to enable them to meet their Net Zero goals. Deploying RouteZero, customers travel more miles to meet more customers whilst cutting emissions. Using the most robust and accurate data available, empowers travelers to get to their destination in the most sustainable way, whilst getting their companies closer to Net Zero. Decarbonization is possible if we work together,” said Dan Brown, CEO of RouteZero.

    “The level of precision and accuracy of Cirium’s EmeraldSky CO2 emissions calculations for flights far exceeds estimates available today and leveraging this flight emission system via RouteZero enables corporations to fulfill their sustainability objectives faster and more cost effectively,” said Jeremy Bowen, CEO of Cirium.

    This innovative service not only enhances the accuracy of emissions reporting but also helps corporations better align their travel practices with their sustainability initiatives. By leveraging Cirium’s comprehensive flight emissions data and RouteZero’s expertise in sustainability, RouteZero’s service powered by EmeraldSky sets a new standard for environmental stewardship in corporate travel management.

    Get more information about the RouteZero and Cirium’s EmeraldSky and hear how it can benefit your corporate travel program.

    About Cirium 
    Cirium® is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics. The company delivers powerful data and cutting-edge analytics to empower a wide spectrum of industry players. It equips airlines, airports, travel enterprises, aircraft manufacturers, and financial entities with the clarity and intelligence they need to optimize their operations, make informed decisions, and accelerate revenue growth. 

    Cirium® is part of LexisNexis® Risk Solutions, a RELX business, which provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers.  The shares of RELX PLC are traded on the London, Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchanges using the following ticker symbols: London: REL; Amsterdam: REN; New York: RELX. 

    For more information, follow Cirium® on LinkedIn or visit cirium.com.

    About RouteZero
    RouteZero is dedicated to helping corporations achieve their sustainability goals through innovative solutions and technologies. By providing accurate and reliable emissions data, RouteZero empowers businesses to take meaningful action towards reducing their environmental impact. For further information please visit RouteZero.com.

  • Condor Chooses Cirium as Strategic Partner for Aviation Analytics

    London, 3 September, 2024: Cirium is now Condor’s new partner for aviation analytics, with the new agreement making Cirium the airline’s single source of external aviation data, providing end-to-end data services. 

    The partnership between Cirium, the aviation analytics firm, and Condor, will empower the German carrier to further improve its operations, driving quality insights aimed at improving the businesses efficiency and overall customer satisfaction. 

    As part of this new agreement, Cirium will provide the airline with three key data sets: historical flight data, schedules data, and real-time flight data. 

    Having utilised Cirium’s historical flight data for two years, Condor’s decision to now integrate Cirium’s additional suite of products presents a unique opportunity to further streamline operations, driving direct improvements for both the business and its customers. 

    This investment in data will enable the business to swiftly identify operational trends, allowing for quick solutions that reduce costs and enhance efficiency. It will empower teams to optimise fleet management, network planning, connections, and crew scheduling, driving significant improvements across all aspects of operations. 

    Cirium’s highly regarded flight schedules product is also part of the deal, offering deeper insights into service opportunities and market demand. With the up-to-date data, Condor will be able to optimise network and crew planning, boosting efficiency and profitability across the business. 

    The addition of Cirium’s real-time flight data will also provide live updates on aircraft around the world, meaning flights can be tracked and monitored with greater detail.  

    This will support Condor’s investment in its customer experience proposition, with Cirium’s live flight data feeding directly into customer-facing digital platforms, giving travellers precise departure and arrival times so they can plan their onward journeys. The addition of real-time flight data will also transform disruption management, offering even faster rebooking options to those with missed connections. 

    “We are very excited to announce this expanded collaboration with Condor, a leading global leisure airline. Condor has been a client of Cirium, benefiting from our historical flight data, and this strengthened partnership is a testament to both the quality of our data and the dedication of the Cirium team. Through this extended relationship, we will provide Condor with the most precise and reliable industry data, helping them enhance operational performance and, most importantly, deliver timely insights to their passengers worldwide,” said Jeremy Bowen, CEO of Cirium.

    As Germany’s most popular leisure airline, Condor has been flying customers to the world’s most beautiful destinations since 1956. With a fleet of over 50 aircraft, the airline serves around 90 destinations from Germany and Switzerland. This partnership with Cirium marks the latest step in Condor’s ongoing commitment to operational excellence and customer satisfaction.

    Cirium is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics, delivering powerful data and cutting-edge analytics to empower a wide spectrum of industry players.  

    Equipping airlines, airports, travel enterprises, aircraft manufacturers, and financial entities, the company provides the clarity and intelligence needed to optimise operations, make informed decisions and accelerate revenue growth. 

    To learn more about Cirium’s products, and how they can benefit your business, visit www.cirium.com

    For Cirium media inquiries please contact media@cirium.com

    About Condor
    As Germany’s most popular leisure airline, Condor has been taking its guests to the world’s most beautiful holiday destinations since 1956. Condor operates a fleet of over 50 aircraft, which are maintained by the company’s own maintenance operation, Condor Technik GmbH, according to the highest safety standards at the Frankfurt and Dusseldorf locations. In spring 2022, Germany’s most popular leisure airline unveiled its new brand identity. This illustrates the development from a leisure airline to a unique and unmistakable vacation brand. The new design was unveiled with the first A330neo, which has been operated by Condor since December 2022. As the German launch customer, Condor will then be flying 21 A330neo long-haul aircraft. Thanks to state-of-the-art technology and maximum efficiency, the latest-generation 2-liter aircraft is the European front-runner with 2.1 liters per passenger per 100 kilometers and maximum customer comfort. Condor will also receive 43 brand-new short- and medium-haul aircraft of the A32Xneo family from 2024. 

    About Cirium 
    Cirium® is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics. The company delivers powerful data and cutting-edge analytics to empower a wide spectrum of industry players. It equips airlines, airports, travel enterprises, aircraft manufacturers, and financial entities with the clarity and intelligence they need to optimize their operations, make informed decisions, and accelerate revenue growth. 

    Cirium® is part of LexisNexis® Risk Solutions, a RELX business, which provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers.  The shares of RELX PLC are traded on the London, Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchanges using the following ticker symbols: London: REL; Amsterdam: REN; New York: RELX. 

    For more information, follow Cirium® on LinkedIn or visit cirium.com.

  • Sustainability Regulations Reshape Aviation Finance Strategy

    Learn more about EmeraldSky

    Global legislators – particularly those in Europe – are pulling on the levers of government to ensure aviation is subject to increasing regulatory change to reduce carbon emissions and encourage a transition towards operating more sustainably.

    It’s crucial aviation financiers understand the regulations, and their impact, not simply for compliance but to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

    The Sustainability Regulations Landscape

    Since 2013, aviation emissions have increased by 26% and are expected to continue to grow, with passenger numbers projected to double to 8.2 billion in 2037.

    By 2050, aviation could consume a quarter of the global carbon budget for limiting global temperature rise to 1.5oC.

    EU Member States aim to reduce net emissions by at least 55% by 2030 compared to 1990 and will become carbon emissions neutral by 2050.

    Against this backdrop, key regulatory frameworks have been implemented to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the environmental impact of air travel.  These include the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA)and the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) among others. Additionally, countries including the UK and US have introduced national initiatives to reduce aviation emissions including the UK’s Jet Zero Strategy and the US’s Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Grand Challenge.

    Aviation sustainability-regulations

    With CORSIA aiming to create a globally unified approach to offsetting aviation emissions and flight emissions within the EU also being regulated by the EU ETS European carriers are facing a unique challenge.

    Adopted by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), CORSIA was developed and set the baseline levels for emissions exceeding 85% of 2020 levels. Its implementation aims to help the aviation industry reach its aspirational goal to make international flight growth carbon neutral and for airlines to have net zero carbon emissions by 2050. The mandatory phase of CORSIA is set to begin in 2027, with individual airlines accountable for their emissions by 2030.

    The EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) requires airlines operating in the European Economic Area to monitor, report, and verify their emissions and to surrender allowances equal to their emissions annually. This means from 2026, airlines will face the full cost of emitting carbon, as free allowances taper down to zero on intra-EU flights where the cap has been steadily above 80% since 2012.

    American multinational investment bank, Morgan Stanley, has predicted this could lead to substantial rise in carbon costs which will be passed on via higher ticket prices.

    Additionally, under the Refuel EU legislation, tankering must be reduced so 90% of annual fuel comes from an EU airport ensuring airlines are not using cheaper fuel outside the EU. From 2025, aviation fuel suppliers will also have to blend 2% SAF and kerosene, increasing to 70% by 2050.

    Regulation Implications for Aviation Finance

    Regulations such as these present both challenges and opportunities for financiers but what is clear is the continually changing regulatory landscape has financial impact. Airlines face higher operating costs due to the need to purchase carbon credits or emissions allowances whilst embracing new and emerging technologies. 

    With any financial health impact there also comes a threat to the ability to meet lease or loan obligations and aircraft leasing and finance agreements now need to consider potential financial impacts of compliance with CORSIA, EU ETS and other regulations.

    Financiers must factor these costs in when structuring finance agreements and deals or when assessing airline creditworthiness.  The costs also need to be accounted for when considering potential impact on aircraft valuation and lease terms because of the growing demand for aircraft capable of using SAFs, which can reduce lifecycle emissions significantly.

    sustainability-regulations2

    As a result, we are seeing investments in SAF infrastructure and technology development becoming increasingly attractive and while funding SAF projects and the transition of fleets to SAF-compatible models can be a significant investment opportunity, financing structures may need to adapt to support such initiatives.

    The UK government’s strategy focused on advancements in technology, operations, and SAFs to achieve net-zero aviation by 2050 and the US Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Grand Challenge encourages financiers to consider funding opportunities for aligned innovations and those that could benefit from government incentives.

    Financiers are also encouraged to consider certification status when evaluating SAF-related investments. The International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC), acertification system for the sustainability of raw materials and products, can also enhance the credibility and marketability of SAF projects, influencing investment decisions.

    Diversification and Funding

    More broadly speaking, portfolio diversification to include more sustainable assets that can reduce exposure to regulatory risks is increasingly important.

    Aircraft may require upgrades to meet new standards, impacting financing deals and residual value calculations. Aircraft residual value could also be influenced by environmental performance with older, less efficient aircraft potentially facing a decline in value, while newer, more sustainable models command a premium.

    There is also a rise in Sustainability-Linked Loans and Green Bonds. The loans offer favorable terms for borrowers meeting specific sustainability targets, such as reducing emissions or increasing the use of SAFs and the issuance of green bonds dedicated to financing sustainable projects in aviation is growing. These bonds attract investors focused on ESG criteria.

    These financial instruments not only support environmental goals but also attract investors focused on sustainable portfolios.

    Strategic Responses

    Aviation finance professionals must adopt strategic responses to navigate regulations effectively. This includes incorporating ESG Criteria into investment decisions including evaluating the environmental impact of aircraft and operations and ensuring transparency in reporting.

    Collaboration with airlines, manufacturers, and regulators is key to stay ahead of regulatory developments – through engagement in industry forums and working groups providing valuable insights and influencing policy-making.

    Financiers must develop and promote financing products that support the transition to sustainable aviation which could include green leasing options, financing for SAF projects, and investments in carbon offset programs.

    Focus should also turn to incorporating sustainability risks into broader risk management frameworks including assessing the potential financial impact of regulatory changes and the transition to low-carbon aviation.

    Moving forward, financing agreement clauses should also account for future regulatory changes and their potential impact on asset values and operating costs.

    EmeraldSky

    As sustainability regulations continue to evolve, the sector must remain agile and proactive which is where EmeraldSky by Cirium comes in.

    EmeraldSky represents a ground-breaking integration of data, analytics, and innovative methodology, delivering unparalleled precision in measuring aircraft and flight CO2 emissions.

    This is why Cirium’s EmeraldSky will be crucial in providing industry-leading data to enable airlines to make data-based decisions to ensure flights operate with optimal efficiency and reduce emissions where possible.

    It offers a precise and comprehensive perspective on aircraft and flight CO2 emissions as well as fuel consumption for every flight and aircraft. It takes in account every essential factor, such as aircraft model, engine type, age, flight duration, passenger count, and even cargo capacity, to ensure a highly accurate and comprehensive emissions assessment.

    Harnessing EmeraldSky, means businesses can secure a competitive advantage and contribute to a greener and cleaner future for their own operations and the industry as a whole.

    To learn more about this innovative game-changing methodology, visit Cirium.com/EmeraldSky.

    Looking Ahead

    Sustainability regulations are reshaping the aviation landscape and the shift towards greener aviation poses inevitable challenges and opportunities for aviation finance professionals.

    We will see the sector accelerate towards achieving net zero emissions by 2050 and by understanding the regulations and their implications, financiers can not only ensure compliance but strategically position themselves to support and benefit from the industry’s transition to a more sustainable future.

    The connection between sustainability regulations and aviation finance is becoming increasingly complex and critical but provides an opportunity for the aviation finance community to contribute significantly to the global efforts to combat climate change, while unlocking new opportunities for growth and innovation.

    Staying informed and adaptable is crucial to navigating the current regulatory landscape, ensuring that both compliance and competitiveness are achieved as the sector journeys towards a more sustainable future.

    Attending ISTAT EMEA in Istanbul? Book a meeting with our team to discover how Cirium enables data-based decision-making with reliable and comprehensive environmental flight intelligence. 

  • Carbon Emissions Rules Reshape Managed Business Travel

    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing
    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing

    Jim Hetzel, Director of Product Marketing, Cirium

    Carbon emissions reporting is becoming increasingly vital for corporate responsibility, especially for companies with managed business travel. In this era of growing environmental consciousness, understanding the impact of global regulations on carbon emissions has become crucial. Let’s dive into how these regulations can influence businesses and the benefits they bring.

    Carbon Emissions Reporting involves quantifying an organization’s greenhouse gas emissions into three scopes:

    Scope 1: Direct emissions from owned or controlled sources.
    Scope 2: Indirect emissions from purchased energy generation.
    Scope 3: Other indirect emissions, including business travel.

    Increasing Global Regulations

    Regulatory bodies worldwide are introducing strict rules on carbon emissions reporting to hold companies accountable for their environmental impact.

    European Union’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD):
    Mandates large companies in the EU to regularly publish reports on their environmental impact, including climate impact from business travel.

    California’s Climate Corporate Leadership and Accountability Act (SB 253) and Climate-Related Financial Risk Act (SB 261):
    Requires companies to disclose their entire scope of emissions, including those from operations and supply chains, as well as financial institutions’ portfolios.

    Traveler at sunset on a hill over a beach

    Benefits of Compliance

    1. Compliance with Regulations: By understanding and adhering to carbon emissions regulations, companies can avoid penalties and legal risks associated with non-compliance.
    2. Optimizing Carbon Offset Efforts: Knowledge of emission reporting allows businesses to identify areas where they can reduce their carbon footprint effectively.
    3. Cost Reduction: By optimizing carbon offset efforts, companies can minimize costs associated with emission reduction strategies.
    4. Enhancing Brand Image: Demonstrating commitment to environmental sustainability through accurate reporting helps improve a company’s brand image among consumers who prioritize eco-consciousness.
    5. Attracting Investors: Companies that actively manage their carbon emissions are more appealing to the investment community as sustainable practices align with long-term financial stability.

    Cirium’s groundbreaking work in accurately measuring aircraft and flight emissions plays a vital role in the pursuit of sustainable practices and responsible corporate behavior, ultimately helping businesses align their operations with global ESG objectives.

    Case Study Example – RELX’s Flights Dashboard

    RELX, a global information and analytics company, is using innovative solutions to measure and track flight emissions:

    • The flights dashboard, powered by Cirium’s aviation analytics, provides accurate fuel burn figures.
    • This data allows RELX to make informed decisions to reduce emissions, choose lower-emission airlines/routes, and set carbon reduction targets.

    Changing Travel Behaviors at RELX

    The introduction of the Flights Dashboard has triggered positive changes at RELX:

    • Considering financial and carbon costs for in-person meetings and finding a balance.
    • Measuring the impact of travel year-on-year and setting reduction targets.
    • Introducing an internal carbon price as an incentive to reduce unnecessary travel and support environmental projects.

    By actively managing their carbon emissions, organizations can contribute to a sustainable future while enjoying the benefits of compliance. So, let’s embrace these changes and create a greener tomorrow together!

    Learn more about building sustainable travel programs.

  • Ensuring Top Traveler Experience With Proactive Communication

    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing
    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing

    Jim Hetzel, Director of Product Marketing, Cirium

    The experience of the modern traveler with the complexities of aviation goes beyond the beautiful moments of takeoff and landing. It’s a detailed narrative, influenced by various factors such as weather conditions, service logistics, and occasional unexpected issues that can disrupt travel plans. For the pioneers in the industry – our dedicated travel management companies, online travel agencies, and airlines – mastering seamless communication during trips is not merely an added benefit; it’s the core of building customer loyalty. 

    In this deep-dive into the realm of in-trip communication strategies, we unearth insights that can revamp the parameters of customer satisfaction, illustrating how seamless communication channels can transform disruptions into moments of personalized care, and how your brand’s voice, articulated via digital whispers or automated support, can leave indelible marks on traveler’s experience. 

    The Evolution of In-Trip Communication

    Man on phone at airport

    Gone are the days where radio silence from a travel company or airline would be considered the norm amid a flight disruption. Today, proactive, in-trip communication has evolved from a novelty to an unstated prerequisite for all industry players. Modern travelers not only expect to be kept in the loop, but also to receive contextually relevant updates that reflect the sensitivity of their unique travel situations. Airlines and travel service providers who have embraced this paradigm shift are the true vanguards, navigating their way into their customers’ hearts through a relentless pursuit of communication excellence. 

    To delineate this evolution, consider a traveler, stranded at an airport during adverse weather, receiving a personalized alert that not only informs about the flight’s delay but also provides instructions on how to be reaccommodated. The sense of care and support extended through such communications is immeasurable in its impact and resonates far beyond the immediate challenge. 

    Crafting a Consistent Brand Message 

    While the spontaneity and personalization of messages play critical roles, they must always be underpinned by your brand’s ethos. Pushing promotional content or ancillary sales during times of duress may lead to customer dissonance. Instead, a strategy that predominantly serves to inform and support, alongside the regular exchange of positive and brand-reinforcing content, can create a holistic travel experience reflective of your brand’s core values. 

    Imagine a travel management company disseminating engaging travel inspirations while also skillfully handling a travel disruption issue.

    This mix of content not only helps distract travelers during hiccups but also ingrains your brand firmly in their psyche as a reliable, proactive, and empathetic partner. 

    Data-Driven Approach to Communication

    Data is the compass that steers the ship of in-trip communication. By leveraging analytics to pre-empt and address potential disruptions, you can offer a level of service unmatched in the industry. For instance, using real-time geographical analysis, an airline can predict increased traffic in specific airport areas due to flight delays and recommend alternative routes to those customers. 

    Furthermore, data-driven communication isn’t solely about predicting and informing; it’s about engaging. By understanding traveler preferences and behavior, you can tailor your messages to not just relay critical information, but also offer personalized support that’s both timely and relevant. A succinct message picking up on a traveler’s affinity for a particular café or gift shop, and subtly guiding them there to wait out the delay, transcends conventional customer service into a truly personal space. 

    Improving Disruptions With Traveler Waiver Services

    During major flight disruptions, empowered passengers armed with structured waiver information can make informed, rapid adjustments to their travel itinerary. This not only expedites the re-accommodation process but also arms them with the confidence that their choices are being guided by their rights as passengers, as assured by the weaver services. 

    Travel Management Companies and airlines have noted a considerable reduction in agent time on calls during mishaps – by as much as 20%.

    This substantial efficiency improvement is not just a cost-saving echo – it’s an embodiment of the power of informed choices, which usually are the best one’s customers can make. 

    Best Practices and Case Studies 

    Two industry exemplars, Fox World Travel and Gant Travel, provide case studies that underscore the efficacy of proactive in-trip communication. Fox World Travel reduced the average wait times for disrupted air travelers by a third, while Gant Travel’s lean management system ensured a fleet-footed response to aid distressed travelers, reducing overall agent call times and enhancing customer satisfaction. 

    In their success narratives, we find the blueprint for best practices: seamless integration of communication systems, agile responses to disruptions, and cohesive strategies that intertwine traveler welfare with business goals. 

    The Human Element in the Digital Deluge

    In an era dominated by digital interfaces and AI-driven experiences, do not underrate the irreplaceable touch of human interaction. Behind every flight change alert or waiver notification stands a traveler in need of care. Balancing automated responses with the opportunity for direct human support is the fine line that separates good from exceptional in-trip service. 

    The intuitive leaps of a support agent or the compassion of a travel representative in the face of a service challenge can turn a potentially negative experience into a positive affirmation of customer service. While digital communication is efficient and timely, it is the human touch that lends a memorable aspect to your customer’s travel narrative. 

    Aligning Stakeholders for a Unified Experience

    The harmony of in-trip communications is the sum of its parts, and ensuring these parts harmonize to produce a unified experience is integral. Travel management companies, online travel agencies, and airlines need to align their communication strategies to create a seamless continuum of support for travelers. 

    Looking Ahead – the Future of Proactive In-Trip Communication

    In-flight Wi-Fi, mobile apps, and AI integration – the arsenal of in-trip communication tools is expanding at a rapid pace. The future promises an even more connected, informed, and empowered traveler, offering new opportunities to engage and cater to their individual journeys. 

    The role of data will continue to grow, shaping real-time, hyper-personalized engagements. Human support will complement AI, amplifying the layers of care available to passengers. The stage is set for a new era where in-trip communications will not just manage disruptions but transform them into opportunities to reiterate brand promises and deliver exceptional customer experiences. 

    Take-Away Action Items

    • Employ data analytics to enhance the efficiency and relevance of your in-trip communications. 
    • Develop a robust travel waiver strategy to assist travelers during disruptions effectively. 
    • Ensure your in-trip communications resonate with your brand’s voice and values. 
    • Integrate digital solutions with human support to achieve a harmonious customer experience. 
    • Collaborate with stakeholders to craft communication strategies that serve the traveler’s best interest. 

    The tapestry of in-trip communication is woven from the threads of technological advancement, data sophistication, and the ageless virtues of personalized service. As we steer towards a horizon brimming with new opportunities and challenges, it is these very threads that will fortify our brands, elevate customer satisfaction, and set novel standards in traveler experience. 

    To learn more about Proactive Traveler Services, contact us to speak with our Cirium experts. 

  • Journey to Net-Zero: The ‘Fleet Inertia’ Challenge

    Andrew Doyle
    Andrew Doyle

    Andrew Doyle, Senior Director – Market Development, Cirium

    Global jet fuel demand is forecast to hit almost half a billion tonnes by 2050 – a more than 40% increase over 2024 – bringing into stark focus the challenge the industry faces in achieving its self-imposed net zero emissions target. This is based on the prediction by Cirium sister data and analytics provider ICIS, that growth in the fleet of conventionally powered aircraft will see overall fuel usage increase by an average of 1.5% annually over the next 25 years.

    ICIS Jet fuel demand forecast

    Although incremental aircraft and engine technology advances will continue to bring some efficiency improvements, the overall expansion of the commercial fleet – coupled with the fact that aircraft being delivered today are likely to remain in service for an average of around 25 years – means huge volumes of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) will be needed if the industry is to have any hope of achieving net-zero by 2050 (the specific challenges relating to the scale-up of SAF supply will be examined in more detail in the next instalment of this series).

    The ICIS fuel demand forecast is supported by Cirium Ascend Consultancy’s projection that as far out as 2042 more than two-thirds of the global single-aisle mainline passenger jet fleet will be comprised of the same generation of aircraft and engines being produced today, while on the widebody side the figure will be in excess of 60%.

    The trend for advances in aircraft and engine efficiency to be outpaced by overall fleet growth has persisted for decades. According to an analysis published by the Air Transport Action Group, emissions per revenue tonne kilometre fell by 54% between 1990 and 2019, and yet absolute emissions doubled.

    Fleet Inertia Presents a Huge Challenge to Decarbonisation From a Technology Perspective

    Fleet inertia presents a huge challenge to decarbonisation from a technology perspective

    The latest edition of the Cirium Fleet Forecast (CFF) predicts the delivery of some 46,260 new commercial passenger and freighter jet and turboprop aircraft over the 20 years between 2023 and 2042. Forecast traffic growth will require the global passenger fleet to increase by around 23,000 units, which equates to a 3.2% annual growth rate, taking the inventory to some 49,320 jet and turboprop aircraft at the end of 2042, according to the CFF. The freighter fleet will grow by 2.6% annually to reach almost 4,200 aircraft.

    The turboprop sector is the only one with realistic potential to deliver a fundamental step change in propulsion technology during this timeframe. While there are no electric or hybrid-electric airliners specifically included in the CFF, these will likely be the next powerplant directions for this market, albeit at the smaller end of the sector. Programmes in development include a 30-seat battery electric airliner, hydrogen-electric powertrains for retrofit on nine to 80 seaters and a hydrogen fuel cell powered 50-seater, which is in flight test with retrofits planned for DHC Dash 8s and ATRs.

    However, currently just 3% of CO2 emissions are from aircraft with 100 seats or fewer flying sectors below 1,000km. Conversely, long-haul twin-aisles made up 51% of CO2 emissions in 2019, and are by far the hardest to replace with electric/hydrogen-powered aircraft.

    Timescales for New Technology Aircraft Introduction

    Timescales for new technology aircraft introduction

    The path to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 for the aviation industry is fraught with significant challenges, in large part due to the ‘fleet inertia’ problem and the substantial increase in global jet fuel demand. While advancements in aircraft and engine technology will contribute to incremental efficiency gains, they are unlikely to counteract the rapid growth of the commercial fleet.

    Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) will play a critical role in bridging this gap, but its scale-up poses considerable obstacles that require urgent attention.

    The future may hold promise for electric and hydrogen-powered aircraft, particularly in the turboprop sector, yet these technologies remain limited in scope and impact.

    As we look ahead, it is imperative for industry stakeholders to accelerate carbon mitigation initiatives and explore innovative solutions to meet the ambitious 2050 targets. Stay tuned for the next installment in our series, where we will examine the specific challenges and potential solutions related to the scale-up of SAF supply.

    Contact us for more information.

  • Path to Net Zero: Rising Carbon Footprint in Aviation, Part 3

    EmeraldSky logo representing aircraft and flight emissions
    Andrew Doyle
    Andrew Doyle

    Andrew Doyle, Senior Director – Market Development, Cirium

    Please note: this is part three of a three-part series. Read part one and two.

    Taking a look at the Airbus and Boeing passenger types that made up the global in-service fleet in April 2024 – compared with the previous emissions peak in July 2019 – most notable has been the introduction of approaching 1,500 latest-generation 737 Max aircraft (since the type’s worldwide grounding order was lifted in late-2020), and the addition of almost 1,800 A320neo and A321neo aircraft. Meanwhile the in-service fleet of previous-generation A320ceos has declined by more than 500 and more than 450 737-800s have been removed. 

    On the widebody side, only 20 ageing passenger-configured 747-400s remain in service – down from 130 – and the legacy 767-300 fleet is reduced by approaching 190 units. The active A380 fleet has fallen from 233 to 160 and there are over 110 fewer A330-300s in service. These have been replaced and supplemented by almost 400 additional latest-generation A350s and A330neos, together with more than 270 787s. The combined in-service Airbus and Boeing passenger jet fleets have grown by over 1,000 units to almost 21,000 over this five-year period, which has more than offset the per-flight efficiency gains resulting from the increasing prevalence of latest-generation engine technology. 

    Here’s our take. 

    The commercial aviation industry stands at a crossroads, facing the dual challenge of meeting growing travel demand while drastically reducing its environmental impact. The path forward requires a concerted effort from airlines, aircraft manufacturers, governments, and stakeholders to invest in sustainable technologies and fuels.

    Addressing the urgency of the situation, embracing innovation, and committing to ambitious carbon reduction targets are essential steps to ensure that the future of air travel aligns with the planet’s health. The journey towards sustainability is a complex one, but with proactive measures and collaborative initiatives, the aviation industry can rise to meet this critical challenge. 

    Learn more about accurate aircraft and flight emissions insights; Emerald Sky Aircraft and Flight Emissions.  

  • Predicting Delays: How Airlines Use AI to Minimize Disruptions

    Alex Brooker, VP of Research, Development and Discovery, Cirium

    Time is a precious commodity, the skies are more crowded than ever, and flight delays have become a common headache for travelers. The ripple effects of these disruptions extend far beyond frustrated passengers, costing airlines many millions of dollars annually in crew expenses, fuel consumption, and damaged reputations. However, a quiet evolution is underway in the aviation industry, as airlines and airports harness the power of big data, machine learning, and artificial intelligence to predict and minimize flight delays like never before.

    Traditionally, airlines have relied on historical data analysis and weather forecasts to anticipate potential delays. But these methods often fall short in providing the granular, real-time insights needed to make proactive operational decisions. “The most obvious clue, of course, is checking the weather,” says airline pilot Patrick Smith. “There are, however, lots of variables here. Some hubs are more prone to delays than others. A few inches of snow in Denver or Detroit aren’t a big deal. Snow in Washington or Dallas, on the other hand, can cause problems.”[1]

    Enter the new era of AI-powered delay prediction. By analyzing vast troves of data from sources like satellite imagery, radar, aircraft sensors, and weather stations, machine learning algorithms can identify patterns and forecast delays with unprecedented accuracy. These systems continuously learn and refine their models with each new data point, enabling airlines to make smarter, faster decisions that minimize the impact of disruptions.[2]

    Leading the charge in this space are airlines like JetBlue[3], Delta, and United. JetBlue has partnered with weather intelligence provider Tomorrow.io to develop a system that can predict delays hours or even days in advance.

    By providing hyper-accurate forecasts tailored to specific airports and flight paths, the system allows JetBlue to proactively adjust schedules, reroute aircraft, and keep passengers informed.

    The results have been impressive, with the airline reporting savings of $300,000 to $600,000 per hub per year.[4]

    Delta Airlines, meanwhile, has developed its own proprietary app that leverages real-time weather data to set threat index alerts. United Airlines has taken a similar approach with its investment in micro-weather technology, which provides localized forecasts that help optimize flight routes and fuel efficiency.

    The benefits of these AI-driven systems extend beyond just operational efficiency. By minimizing delays and cancellations, airlines can significantly improve the passenger experience and build stronger brand loyalty. In an industry where a single negative incident can turn a customer away for life, this is no small feat. “What the airline is trying to do is delay the flight as little as possible, as late as possible,” explains Flighty app founder Ryan Jones. “And what we’re trying to do is tell the truth as soon as possible.”[5]

    Of course, implementing these advanced prediction systems is not without its challenges. Integrating AI into existing aviation infrastructure requires significant investment in both technology and personnel training. There are also valid concerns around data privacy and security that must be addressed through robust governance frameworks.

    But for airlines willing to make the leap, the potential rewards are immense. A 2019 analysis by Cirium found that every minute of block time delay costs European low-cost carriers around $60. Extrapolated across an entire fleet, this can add up to tens of millions of dollars in annual losses. By leveraging AI to minimize these delays, airlines can boost their bottom lines while also enhancing the travel experience for their customers.

    average cancellation rate

    However, realizing this potential will require close collaboration between airlines, airports, technology providers, and regulators. Data sharing and interoperability standards will be key to unlocking the full value of these systems across the aviation ecosystem. There must also be a concerted effort to ensure that the benefits of AI are distributed equitably, rather than concentrating among a handful of major players.

    At the same time, it’s important to recognize that AI is not a panacea for all of aviation’s challenges. Factors like infrastructure constraints, labor shortages, and rising fuel costs will continue to put pressure on airlines’ operations. Addressing these issues will require a holistic approach that combines technological innovation with sound policy and strategic investments.

    For travelers, the message is clear: the days of being left in the dark about flight delays may soon be a thing of the past.

    With AI working behind the scenes to keep planes running smoothly and on time, passengers can look forward to a future where air travel is more predictable, more efficient, and more enjoyable than ever before. And that is a future worth getting excited about.

    How is Cirium Traveler Services enabling travel providers to create better traveler experiences? Read more here.

    [1] How to Find Out If Your Flight Will Be Delayed Before It’s Even Announced (travelandleisure.com)
    [2] Q&A – Power travel applications with best-in-class data – Cirium
    [3] JetBlue Case Study | Tomorrow.io
    [4] 4 Ways Weather Intelligence Can Improve Operations for Airlines and Airports (tomorrow.io)
    [5] How to Find Out If Your Flight Will Be Delayed Before It’s Even Announced (travelandleisure.com)

  • EmeraldSky by Cirium Revolutionizes Aircraft Emissions Accuracy

    EmeraldSky logo representing aircraft and flight emissions

    The most accurate way to capture data for aircraft carbon emissions and fuel burn globally

    This data enables seat-by-seat emissions to be precisely tracked by management companies, corporate travel departments, aircraft finance firms and airlines

    London, 29 May 2024: Cirium, the leader in aviation analytics, has introduced the industry’s most precise independent standard for measuring aircraft emissions and fuel burn. 

    This groundbreaking and revolutionary methodology analyses each flight’s specific aircraft type and design specifications, combined with real-time operational data and flight conditions, ensuring unparalleled accuracy and reliability in emission tracking.

    Cirium’s EmeraldSky seamlessly integrates Cirium’s comprehensive data, advanced analytics, and innovative techniques to achieve unmatched precision in measuring both current and forecasted CO2 flight emissions.

    Unlike traditional carbon calculators that depend on broad estimates and loose assumptions – such as using pre-planned routes instead of actual flown paths, and ignoring variables like wind speed and direction – EmeraldSky provides emissions results based on the seat in a specific class of service and sets a new standard in aircraft emissions measurement.     

    Jeremy Bowen, CEO of Cirium, said: “Cirium’s mission is to establish the industry standard for accurate fuel burn and carbon emissions data to empower the aviation sector to deliver on its sustainability targets. Cirium’s world-beating methodology even considers each aircraft’s typical operating weight, passengers and baggage, cargo payload, and degradation in engine efficiency over time to provide the most accurate data available to help achieve aviation’s ambitious sustainability goals.”

    Endorsed by airlines and industry stakeholders, EmeraldSky offers users access to both historical data for up to five years and predictive carbon footprint for the upcoming 12 months.    

    This robust data enables precise, independent assessment of each aircraft’s emissions, supporting more informed decision-making across the aviation sector. This ensures more precise flight emission reporting, which is critically important in meeting current and future climate regulations.

    With superior data, EmeraldSky enables users to:

    • Undertake a thorough assessment of sustainable aircraft and fleet options
    • Identify opportunities for aircraft upgrades
    • Promote eco-friendly travel by providing sustainable flight options
    • Comply with emissions regulations and ESG reporting requirements
    • Evaluate investments in aviation carbon offset and elimination programs
    • Forecast the demand for sustainable aviation fuels (SAF)
    • Identify opportunities for aircraft upgrades.

    In a world with an immense focus on the environmental impact of aviation, EmeraldSky’s rigorous approach is essential for accurate reporting and responsible aviation practices.

    EmeraldSky supports Cirium’s ongoing mission to make a meaningful positive impact on the future of aviation and the environment, alongside the industry’s Net Zero targets. 

    Contact us to learn more about EmeraldSky.

    For media enquiries please contact:
    Cirium – media@cirium.com
    The PC Agency – cirium@pc.agency (UK)
    Juliett Alpha – mike@juliettalpha.com (Global)

    About Cirium 
    Cirium® is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics. The company delivers powerful data and cutting-edge analytics to empower a wide spectrum of industry players. It equips airlines, airports, travel enterprises, aircraft manufacturers, and financial entities with the clarity and intelligence they need to optimize their operations, make informed decisions, and accelerate revenue growth. 

    Cirium® is part of LexisNexis® Risk Solutions, a RELX business, which provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers.  The shares of RELX PLC are traded on the London, Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchanges using the following ticker symbols: London: REL; Amsterdam: REN; New York: RELX. 

    For more information, follow Cirium® on LinkedIn or visit cirium.com.

  • Tackling Greenwashing With Accurate Aviation Emissions Data

    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing
    JIm Hetzel Director of Product Marketing

    Jim Hetzel, Director of Product Marketing, Cirium

    Wilson Caulfield, Head of Sales, EMEA, Cirium

    The European Commission recently took decisive action against 20 airlines for making invalid green claims, commonly known as “greenwashing” as stated in the European Commission April 30, 2024 press release – Commission and national consumer protection authorities starts action against 20 airlines for misleading greenwashing practices. These airlines were found to have exaggerated or misrepresented their environmental efforts, misleading consumers and stakeholders. This crackdown underscores the growing regulatory scrutiny and the urgent need for the aviation industry to adopt transparent and objective measures of greenhouse gas emissions.

    The Implications of Greenwashing

    Greenwashing not only tarnishes the reputation of airlines but also erodes public trust and investor confidence. It undermines genuine sustainability efforts and can lead to significant financial and legal repercussions. For the aviation industry, which is under increasing pressure to meet net zero targets by 2050, the ramifications are severe. Effective and credible climate action hinges on the ability to provide accurate data and transparent reporting.

    The Need for an Independent Monitoring System

    To counteract these issues and foster trust among all stakeholders, the aviation industry must implement an independent monitoring system that ensures reliable and scientifically accurate emissions data. Such a system would:

    • Enhance Transparency: Provide verifiable and science-based data that stakeholders can trust.
    • Support Regulatory Compliance: Align with international standards and regulations to avoid penalties.
    • Build Investor Confidence: Demonstrate genuine commitment to sustainability, attracting environmentally conscious investors.
    • Improve Customer Trust: Assure customers that the airline’s green initiatives are legitimate and impactful.

    A Focus on Independent and Accurate Flight Emissions

    Cirium is dedicated to advancing the industry towards its Net Zero goals by 2050 through its trusted and independent data analytics. To support this mission, it has developed Emerald Sky, an advanced methodology that integrates data, analytics, and innovative approaches to achieve unparalleled precision in measuring both flown and forecasted CO2 flight emissions.

    Unlike traditional carbon calculators that rely on broad estimates and assumptions, Emerald Sky uses cutting-edge techniques

    Unlike traditional carbon calculators that rely on broad estimates and assumptions, Emerald Sky uses cutting-edge techniques and proprietary data to accurately calculate aircraft fuel-burn and CO2 emissions. This ensures more precise flight emission reporting, which is critical for meeting current and future climate regulations.

    With Emerald Sky, Cirium aims to provide the industry with the accuracy and transparency it requires to achieve its environmental commitments.

    Moving the Industry Forward

    Airlines must move beyond merely stating intentions to reduce carbon emissions. It’s time to take ownership of their environmental impact and work towards tangible, scientifically backed results.

    Addressing aviation and airline greenwashing and adopting a robust emissions monitoring system isn't just a regulatory requirement

    Addressing greenwashing and adopting a robust emissions monitoring system isn’t just a regulatory requirement—it’s a strategic imperative for building a sustainable future in aviation. Let’s work together to ensure our industry’s environmental claims are as high-flying as our planes.

    Contact Cirium today to learn how to obtain an objective and scientifically accurate measure of greenhouse gas emissions. Cirium’s solution ensures sustainability efforts are transparent, credible, and aligned with global net zero targets.

  • Path to Net Zero: Rising Carbon Footprint in Aviation, Part 2

    EmeraldSky logo representing aircraft and flight emissions
    Andrew Doyle
    Andrew Doyle

    Andrew Doyle, Senior Director – Market Development, Cirium

    Please note: this is part two of a three-part series. Read part one and three.

    According to Cirium’s proprietary Emerald Sky methodology and data analytics, of the 200 airline operators with the greatest CO2 emissions in 2019 – which together accounted for 93% of total emissions and out of which 185 remain in operation today – 81 are on track to have reduced their CO2 per ASK by more than the average 3.9% over the five years to July 2024. The most-improved carrier (Icelandair) is expected to register a reduction of more than 24% thanks to a major fleet replacement programme. Other carriers – for example British Airways, which is on track for an 8.1% decline – made decisions during the pandemic to phase out entire fleets of particularly fuel-thirsty aircraft, such as 747-400s.

    Conversely, Finnair’s estimated CO2 per ASK is forecast to have increased by more than 10% between 2019 and 2024, but principally due to the non-availability of Russian airspace following that country’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

    This resulted in the Finnish flag-carrier’s A350 fleet using approximately 20% more fuel per ASK due to extended flight times to/from points in Asia, as captured by Cirium’s air minutes rather than great circle distance-based methodology.

    The principal sustainability challenge facing the industry is that the forecast growth of the commercial airliner fleet will result in absolute CO2 emissions continuing to increase until supply of sustainable aviation fuels can be massively ramped up. Although aviation as a whole contributes a relatively small portion of global emissions, roughly 2% on latest international estimates, it remains in the spotlight precisely because of this lack of immediate alternatives to fossil fuel use, as well as the potential multiplier of greenhouse effects through cirrus cloud formation at altitude.

    Check back next week for part three: The impact of changes to in-service fleets. Contact us to learn more about Emerald Sky.

  • Path to Net Zero: Tackling Aviation’s Rising Carbon Footprint

    EmeraldSky logo representing aircraft and flight emissions
    Andrew Doyle
    Andrew Doyle

    Andrew Doyle, Senior Director – Market Development, Cirium

    Please note: this is part one of a three-part series. Read part two and three.

    In an era marked by significant incremental advances in engine technology and aircraft design, one might expect the commercial aviation industry to be on a clear flight path towards environmental sustainability. Yet, the reality is more complex and concerning. Despite these technological strides, the sector finds itself at a critical juncture, with greenhouse gas emissions projected to soar beyond previous levels, challenging the global commitment to combat climate change.

    Latest forecasts from Cirium show that monthly carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from scheduled passenger flights will hit an all-time high of 74m tonnes in July 2024, exceeding the pre-pandemic record of 73m tonnes set in July 2019.  But there is good news. Over this five-year period, efficiency measured as CO2 per available seat kilometre* (ASK) will have improved by over 3.8%, thanks mainly to the increasing proportion of aircraft equipped with the latest engine technology.

    Journey to Net Zero: The rising carbon footprint of commercial aviation

    July 2019 saw nearly 3.1m flights deliver 915bn ASKs at an average of just over 70g of CO2 per ASK. Cirium’s forecast for July 2024, based on published airline schedules linked to actual fleets, includes more than 3.2m flights providing almost 980bn ASKs at an average of a little under 68g of CO2.

    Journey to Net Zero: The rising carbon footprint of commercial aviation

     *Assumes 75% of flight-level CO2 from widebodies is attributable to passengers, with 25% accounted for by belly cargo

    This efficiency improvement would have been greater were it not the case that hundreds of Pratt & Whitney PW1100G-powered Airbus A320neo Family aircraft are grounded pending engine inspections, while deliveries of Boeing’s 737 Max models were constrained in the wake of the extended grounding of the type after two fatal crashes. General post-Covid supply chain issues and certification challenges also led to fewer latest generation widebodies entering service than had been envisaged back in 2019.

    Check back next week for part two: Factors influencing airlines reduction in CO2 emissions. Contact us to learn more about Emerald Sky.