Category: Topic

  • How Air Europa is Approaching Emissions Reduction

    Mike Malik, Chief Industry Officer, Cirium

    Air Europa has built a consistent record on emissions reduction over the past decade. The airline has reduced its emissions by 23.58 percent against a 2015 baseline, and won SkyTeam’s annual sustainability challenge in both 2023 for lowest CO2 emissions Short Haul and 2025 for most efficient solution in flight operations. The progress reflects a measured, long-term approach rather than a single headline initiative.

    To understand the practices behind those results, we looked at how the airline thinks about measurement, operations and the path to its 2030 target. What follows is a summary of the work, drawing on insights from the airline’s sustainability team.

    The quotes that follow are from Rosa Nordfeldt, Sustainability Director at Air Europa.

    Starting with Measurement

    Air Europa’s sustainability work began not with ambition but with measurement. Before improvement targets could be set with confidence, the airline invested in the data infrastructure needed to understand its own emissions clearly and consistently. Once that foundation was in place, the targets followed, and the operational practices to deliver against them came after that.

    It is a sequence that gives the airline confidence in the targets it sets, because those targets are anchored in what the data actually supports. It also makes each percentage point of improvement easier to find, because the measurement infrastructure is already in place to identify it.

    Operational Language and Daily Practice

    One of the more distinctive features of Air Europa’s programme is how the airline talks about emissions internally. Rather than treating emissions performance as a separate sustainability concern, the airline made it part of the operational language already in use across flight operations. Emissions performance is discussed in the same conversations as fuel efficiency, route planning and flight performance.

    The result is that the people closest to the fuel burn see emissions as part of their own work rather than something owned elsewhere. That integration is what turns sustainability targets into day-to-day decisions.

    Fleet, Operations and Regulation

    Air Europa operates across two distinct profiles. Short-haul European routes, where competition and turn times shape operations, and long-haul transatlantic services to Latin America, where fleet selection and route structure dominate the emissions picture.

    Both have contributed to the airline’s progress. The transition of the long-haul fleet to the Boeing 787 Dreamliner has delivered meaningful improvements on the transatlantic network. On short and medium-haul routes, the ongoing replacement of the Boeing 737 Next Generation with the 737 MAX is delivering similar gains. Fleet renewal alone, however, is not the whole answer.

    Route planning, flight procedures and the consistency with which procedures are followed all contribute. The aircraft provides the platform. The discipline applied to its operation determines how much of its potential is realised.

    The European regulatory environment is now reinforcing many of these practices. The ReFuelEU Aviation Regulation (Regulation (EU) 2023/2405) is designed to reduce fuel tankering, the practice of uplifting more fuel than is needed at one airport in order to avoid buying it at another. Tankering can be commercially attractive when origin fuel is cheaper, but every additional kilogram of fuel carried burns more fuel for every kilometre that weight travels. To close that gap, the regulation requires aircraft operators to uplift at least 90 percent of their annual fuel requirement at each EU airport from which they depart. For Air Europa, the regulation aligns with practices the airline had already adopted on emissions and efficiency grounds.

    On Sustainable Aviation Fuel

    On Sustainable Aviation Fuel, the airline takes a measured view. SAF is part of Air Europa’s long-term decarbonisation pathway, but the airline is direct about its current limitations. The strategy treats SAF as one element of a broader transition rather than as a standalone solution, and combines pilots, partnerships and ongoing learning while continuing to prioritise the operational measures that deliver emissions reductions today.

    Current SAF production covers only a small share of global jet fuel demand. The path to 2030 will be paved largely by operational efficiency and fleet renewal, with SAF making an increasing contribution as supply scales up over the coming decade.

    The 2030 Target

    Air Europa is targeting a 30 percent reduction in emissions by 2030 from a 2015 baseline. With the airline currently at 23.58 percent, the next four years will require sustained discipline to close the remaining gap.

    What gives the airline confidence in that trajectory is the foundation it has already built. The measurement infrastructure is in place. The integration of emissions performance into daily operations is established. The fleet transition to more efficient aircraft is well advanced. The regulatory environment, particularly in Europe, is increasingly aligned with the practices Air Europa has been developing internally for years. The remaining gains will come from continuing to do well what the airline has already learned to do.

    From Compliance to Performance

    One observation captures something important about how sustainability becomes embedded in an organisation:

    Treated as a compliance exercise, sustainability produces compliance results. Treated as a performance domain, it engages the same instincts that aviation has always brought to questions of efficiency, reliability and excellence. Air Europa’s record suggests that the move from ambition to results happens through measurement, integration into daily operations, and disciplined practice over time. It is a path the airline continues to walk, and one its results indicate is working.

    Measure the carbon emissions from a flight, aircraft or seat with unmatched accuracy.

  • Europe braces for severe jet fuel crunch before summer rush

    Shruti Salwan, Markets Editor, ICIS

    Jonathan Robins, Air Transport Reporter, Cirium

    Europe’s jet fuel supply is coming under mounting pressure as the loss of key Middle Eastern export flows, falling global refinery runs and depleted regional stocks collide with rising summer travel demand.

    With a sharp increase in prices already being felt, airlines are scrambling to respond. 

    No slack in the system

    The loss of supply from the Gulf — the single largest source of internationally traded jet fuel — has created a structural imbalance at a time when global inventories were already under strain.  

    According to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) latest oil market report, global jet fuel demand averaged 7.8 million barrels/day in 2025, with 2 million barrels/day traded internationally.  

    Gulf exporters accounted for 400,000 barrels/day, around 20% of global trade, making them the single largest supply source. The loss of these flows has created a deep structural imbalance. 

    The supply tightness is set to worsen as refinery runs decline, with the IEA forecasting a one million barrels/day year-on-year decline in global crude runs in 2026, translating into 200,000 barrels/day lower jet supply versus pre-conflict levels. The impact could peak in the second quarter with up to 500,000 barrels/day removed from the market. 

    Europe in the firing line

    Europe remains particularly exposed as European OECD countries consumed 1.6 million barrels/day in 2025, with 500,000 barrels/day met via imports, highlighting the scale of the current supply shock.  

    According to ICIS Senior Analyst Man Yiu, “Europe’s monthly deficit of jet fuel averages over 2.5 million tonnes entering into the summer.”

    “Close to 60% of imports were sourced from the Middle East in 2025, majority of which comes through the Strait.” 

    Rising import dependence following post‑COVID refinery closures has further constrained Europe’s ability to absorb supply disruptions. 

    “Europe is under further pressure as it is likely to receive less volume from Asia. About 27% of imports were sourced from Asia, with India, South Korea, and China the key suppliers, all of which have cut refinery runs due to crude supply disruption and could restrict exports to prioritise local demand,” Man Yiu emphasised. 

    Source: ICIS Supply and Demand Database

    Market fundamentals have tightened rapidly as a result. European jet fuel prices more than doubled over a six‑week period from late February, with Northwest Europe cargoes reaching multi-year highs in early April as geopolitical tensions escalated.

    The prompt-month jet fuel crack spread — a measure of refinery margin — soared to the highs of $120/barrel during the period, reflecting the severity of the supply squeeze facing refiners and buyers alike. 

    While outright prices and cracks have moderated from recent peaks, the market continues to reflect underlying supply fragility, with inventories emerging as a key pressure point. 

    European jet fuel stocks at the major import-export Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub have sunk to their lowest level since April 2020, according to Insights Global data, underscoring the speed of stock drawdowns as replacement flows struggle to keep pace. 

    The IEA has highlighted significant regional imbalances in jet fuel supply across Europe.  

    While some countries hold several months of stocks, major importers have less than 20 days of cover, with the UK — Europe’s largest jet fuel consumer and heavily import-dependent — particularly exposed due to tight inventories. 

    On the mainland, stocks appear sufficient for roughly 45–60 days, potentially extending supply through mid-May, but conditions are expected to tighten thereafter if flows do not normalise.  

    Arbitrage flows step up

    Efforts to offset reduced Middle Eastern supply through arbitrage flows have intensified, supported by rising exports from the USA and Nigeria. 

    US jet fuel exports reached a record 442,000 barrels/day in early April, with four-week averages up 200,000 barrels/day above seasonal norms, according to US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data cited by the IEA. 

    Similarly, Nigeria’s jet fuel exports have increased to 66,000 barrels/day, according to market participants, although the ultimate allocation of these volumes remains unclear. 

    As Europe approaches the peak summer travel season, the market is increasingly dependent on attracting these additional cargoes from alternative regions. However, competition for barrels remains intense, particularly as Asian refiners — also reliant on Middle Eastern crude — face their own supply constraints. 

    Market dynamics suggest a bifurcated structure, with supply risks likely to re-emerge into mid-May as inventories draw down and uncertainty surrounding Middle East flows intensifies while current supply buffers begin to diminish. 

    Airlines rush to reduce consumption

    On the demand side, early signs of adjustment are becoming more visible as airlines globally begin reducing capacity, particularly where fuel costs are unhedged or supply remains uncertain. 

    Germany-based airline group Lufthansa, for example, announced the permanent removal of 27 aircraft from its CityLine unit on 16 April, mostly MHIRJ CRJ models, as well as the retirement of its four-engined Airbus A340-600s. It will also ground some Boeing 747-400s from October 2026 ahead of the type’s retirement in 2027.

    This in many ways mirrors the approach taken by airlines during the pandemic, when older, less efficient aircraft were pulled out of service first, enabling carriers to minimise their costs.

    Lufthansa later went further, announcing on 21 April that it would drop 20,000 services over the summer with the ambition of saving around 40,000 tonnes of fuel. That’s despite its reassurances that it expects a “largely stable” fuel supply for the summer and is “pursuing a range of measures to this end”, such as hedging and physical purchases. It is however worth noting that for years, Lufthansa has complained about the difficulties of doing business in Germany and its desire to cut routes. Higher fuel prices could therefore present an ideal moment to do this.

    Meanwhile, US major carrier United Airlines has revealed plans to cut capacity by 5% in the second and third quarters of 2026 to mitigate fuel bills that now account for over 20% of its operating expenses. Chief executive Scott Kirby has warned that elevated jet fuel prices could cost it $11 billion extra over the course of the year.

    Yet United’s approach also highlights that — even in locations where shortages are not expected, such as the USA — it is the cost implications that are key. To that end, the carrier’s finance chief Michael Leskinen said during a 22 April results call that with the price of jet fuel rising “much more than the price of Brent”, he expected to see a “rationing function” in aviation as carriers pull back capacity. United alone spent $340 million more on fuel in the first quarter, which accounted for the vast bulk of a corresponding decline in profitability.

    Specifically, airlines are prioritising cuts on routes where passenger demand is too weak to absorb higher fuel charges and where margins are so thin that the connections do not make sense.

    KLM, operating in a market that is traditionally seen as price-sensitive, announced that it would operate 80 fewer flights in May 2026 to and from its Amsterdam Schiphol hub, specifically targeting high-frequency routes such as London and Dusseldorf where multiple daily flights can be consolidated.

    Meanwhile, Australia’s Qantas reduced its planned fourth-quarter domestic capacity by 5 percentage points, redeploying those aircraft to high-yield international routes like Paris and Rome to maximise revenue.

    Other, smaller players may see a more severe impact from surging fuel prices. Norse Atlantic, a low-cost long-haul carrier which launched amid the pandemic, and which crucially does not hedge its fuel, said on 15 April that it would restructure its operations and raise $110 million from shareholders in a bid to ride out elevated kerosene prices. Its stock price immediately halved on the news, with scant recovery since.

    Unsurprisingly, the Middle East has been at the centre of capacity reductions globally. Air traffic manager Eurocontrol notes that in the week of 6-12 April, flows from Europe to the region were down 54% on last year, although overall capacity in Europe continued expanding as airlines ramped up into the peak season. The number of flights rose 2% week on week but remained slightly below 2025 levels, although this also reflected the impact of a pilot strike at Lufthansa. 

    A drop in the jet fuel ocean?

    Despite such adjustments, there is a broad consensus among participants in the jet fuel market that demand-side responses have not yet reached the scale required to offset the structural supply shortfall. 

    Traders note that while reduced flight activity does lead to a marginal decline in jet fuel demand, the impact remains relatively limited in scale and timing.  

    Airline consumption tends to adjust gradually rather than abruptly, meaning demand-side softness has not been enough to materially rebalance the market. 

    At the same time, ongoing disruptions in supply chains, combined with particularly reduced or redirected refinery and trade flows, have removed a more significant volume of barrels from the system.  

    This imbalance between only modest demand erosion and more pronounced supply constraints has left overall fundamentals skewed tight, with the market continuing to rely heavily on constrained inventories and volatile import flows rather than meaningful demand relief. 

    This is despite the signals showing that strategic cuts to capacity are more than just a few isolated airlines marking cosmetic changes, but a global shift. Cirium data indicates that airline capacity for May 2026 has fallen by around 3 percentage points, with 19 of the world’s 20 largest airlines cutting flights. The longer the crisis goes on, the more cuts should be expected.

    Gaps in the market

    At the same time, some airlines are also spotting opportunities that could even increase their jet fuel use.

    With the suitability of the Middle East as a transfer hub now called into question, European airline groups IAG, Air France-KLM, and Lufthansa Group have rapidly ramped up their direct services to Asia, often using equipment that would have been operated to the Gulf. India has proved particularly popular, with all three groups adding significant capacity to the country.

    Speaking in March, Casten Spohr, Lufthansa Group’s chief executive, said that extra flights placed into Asian routes had been “filled within days” by customers that would have transferred through the Middle East. Over the longer term, he expects his airlines’ reputations as “pillars of stability” to serve as a tailwind, given that passengers tend to respond to geopolitical upheaval by choosing established brands flying to destinations perceived as low-risk. Given this, “we can certainly attract more customers and make more profits,” he said.


    ICIS is a global provider of independent commodity intelligence for the chemicals and energy markets. Cirium is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics, providing data and analytics to the air transport industry. ICIS and Cirium are both part of LexisNexis® Risk Solutions, a RELX business.

  • Philippine Airlines — Asia Pacific’s Rising Star

    Mike Malik, Chief Industry Officer, Cirium

    Sometimes the best stories in aviation are the ones nobody sees coming.

    On March 19th, I presented the Cirium On-Time Performance Award for the Most On-Time Airline in Asia Pacific to Philippine Airlines in Manila. Two thousand employees filled the room. The event was televised to those who couldn’t attend. The airline was celebrating its 85th anniversary and chose that milestone to also celebrate something earned in real time, an operational performance that put it ahead of every other carrier in the region. When the results hit the screen, the room erupted. Having run Cirium’s OTP program for the past seven years, a program now in its 17th year as the industry standard, I have stood in front of airline teams around the world. Few moments have matched that one.

    The data tells the story. In 2022, Philippine Airlines did not place among Cirium’s top ten most punctual airlines in the Asia‑Pacific region. By 2023, PAL entered the rankings at eighth place, and rose further to seventh in 2024. In 2025, that trajectory culminated in a number one ranking, with an on-time performance of 83.12 percent. Improvements of that magnitude do not happen by chance. September 2025 hit 90.47%. PAL claimed first in the regional rankings four times: April, August, September, and October. That is not a hot streak. It is the result of consistent operational performance, built on a foundation established over three years.

    In every top-performing airline I have studied, the pattern holds. It starts with a commitment from the management team that the airline will be an on-time airline. It requires strong relationships with operational partners. And it demands continued investment in equipment, training, and analytics. But the airlines that sustain it share something deeper: a culture where reliability is not a goal but a standard, where it is measured, owned, and part of how every team operates.

    Richard Nuttall, President, Philippine Airlines

    What makes this personal is the man now leading the airline. Richard Nuttall became PAL’s president in May 2025, the first foreign national to hold the post in the carrier’s history. Richard and I go back to our time at Cathay Pacific Airways in Hong Kong, where I was an embedded consultant from Sabre helping the airline implement crew scheduling, revenue management, and flight and operations control systems. His career since has taken him across five continents, through leadership roles at Kenya Airways, Royal Jordanian, Saudia, as CEO of Bahrain Air, and most recently as CEO of Sri Lankan Airlines, where he steered the carrier back to profitability. What connects all of it is a consistent ability to walk into difficult situations and get the operation running right. After the ceremony, Richard told me this was just the start, that the airline has enormous potential still to unlock.

    Lucio Tan III, President and COO, LT Group, Inc and PAL Holdings, Inc

    That momentum is now being carried forward by a leadership team guiding Philippine Airlines’ path ahead.  Lucio Tan III, the Stanford‑educated grandson of patriarch Dr. Lucio C. Tan, serves as President of PAL Holdings. Bringing in someone with Nuttall’s international track record alongside next‑generation ownership signals a group that knows where it wants to go. Carlos Luis Fernandez rounds out the team as EVP / COO.


    The fleet strategy fits. PAL took delivery of its first Airbus A350-1000 in December, the first in Southeast Asia, with eight more arriving through 2027. New aircraft are easier to keep on schedule, and fleet renewal at this scale reinforces the operational gains that drove the OTP results.

    Lucio Tan III, President and COO, LT Group, Inc and PAL Holdings, Inc

    Every on-time arrival is a promise kept. Philippine Airlines kept that promise more consistently than any airline in Asia Pacific last year. The leadership is in place, the fleet is arriving, and the culture is delivering. This is an airline that has earned the right to be taken seriously.

  • Scoot, Qatar, and Ryanair top Cirium global airline emissions rankings in 2025

    • Scoot, the Singapore-based low-cost carrier, claimed the top spot in Cirium’s 2025 EmeraldSky Annual Review.
    • Qatar Airways, Ryanair, and Turkish Airlines recognized as most efficient global airlines when ranked by seat capacity.
    • Regional leaders include Frontier (Intra-North America), Wizz Air (Europe), Virgin Atlantic (Transatlantic), Air Canada (Transpacific), JetSmart (Latin America), and Vietjet (Asia).

    LONDON (Apr. 15, 2026) – Singapore-based Scoot has been named the world’s most emissions-efficient airline in Cirium’s 2025 EmeraldSky Annual Review, taking the top position from last year’s leader, Wizz Air. Qatar Airways, Ryanair, and Turkish Airlines were each recognized as the top three most efficient global airlines, ranked by available seat kilometres (ASK).  

    Cirium’s industry leading ranking is based on CO₂ per available ASK across the world’s 100 largest airlines. The methodology is independently assured by PwC to ISAE 3000. It groups airlines into Gold, Silver and Bronze tiers based on global performance, which covers the top 15 airlines as well as key regional and route performers.

    “Airline emissions performance comes down to decisions airlines can control — fleet choices, seat configuration and how aircraft are deployed on routes,” said Jeremy Bowen, CEO of Cirium. “The airlines at the top of these rankings have got those fundamentals right, and it shows. Better emissions efficiency and lower fuel bills go hand in hand.”

    Scoot is the first Southeast Asian carrier to lead in global airline emissions efficiency rankings. Its average seat density of 242 seats per aircraft, operating on longer average sectors, placed it in the lead position this year. The results reinforce a consistent pattern across the industry. Airlines operating younger fleets with higher seat density continue to outperform their peers on emissions efficiency, with low-cost carriers dominating the top of the rankings. Wizz Air placed second (after placing first in 2024), followed by TUI Airways, Air Europa and Frontier Airlines, with all five carriers ranking in the top five globally and earning Gold status. Each has young fleets of aircraft compared to their peers.

    RankAirlineBase CountryPAX CO2/ASK (g)CO2 emissions (mt)Flights per Year (thousands)Fleet Age (years)Avg. distance (km)
    1ScootSingapore512.0656.72,157
    2Wizz AirHungary52.96.23354.71,547
    3TUI AirwaysUK53.62.2669.72,862
    4Air EuropaSpain53.92.169102,023
    5Frontier AirlinesUSA54.13.52084.81,470
    6TUIflyGermany54.41.65810.62,475
    7Virgin AtlanticUK54.52.8276.86,566
    8AirAsia XMalaysia54.81.620144,177
    9PegasusTurkey55.93.823351,372
    10JetstarAustralia563.718311.11,623
    11CondorGermany56.152.295511.22,883
    12Spirit AirlinesUSA56.773.782176.41,535
    13IberiaSpain57.034.4710011.52,831
    14VolarisMexico57.333.101807.51,532
    15IndiGoIndia57.369.847964.21,082

    *Gold: Ranks 1-5 | Silver: Ranks 6-10 | Bronze: Ranks 11-15. For the full list of 20 airlines, please reference the report.

    Wizz Air remains among the strongest performers with a fleet averaging under five years, similar to other performers such as Frontier Airlines and IndiGo.

    Long-haul operators, in contrast, are closing the gap primarily through fleet renewal, by removing from service older, less-fuel-efficient aircraft. Airlines such as Virgin Atlantic demonstrate that newer widebody aircraft and higher-capacity configurations can deliver competitive emissions performance even on long-distance routes.

    Top Airlines by ASK

    The table below reflects the top three most efficient global airlines, ranked by available seat kilometres (ASK). The top 10 global airlines as ranked by ASK, are listed in the full report. 

    RankAirlineBase CountryPAX CO2/ASK (g)CO2 emissions (mt)Flights per Year (thousands)Fleet Age (years)Avg. distance (km)
    1Qatar AirwaysQatar60.015.419810.24,221
    2RyanairIreland62.717.4114810.11,264
    3Turkish AirlinesTürkiye64.215.84289.72,332

    Regional and Key Intra Regional Rankings

    The table below reflects regional rankings, as well as for well-trafficked corridors, the Transatlantic and Transpacific. Across every region, airlines with younger fleets and higher seat density continue to lead within their markets. Results in each region carry their own story as metrics of comparison change.

    RankAirlineBase CountryPAX CO2/ASK (g)CO2 Emissions (mt)Flights (000s)Fleet Age (yrs)Avg. Dist. (km)
    Intra-North America
    1Frontier AirlinesUSA54.53.01854.81,402
    2Spirit AirlinesUSA57.43.11856.51,463
    3WestJetCanada67.02.417511.51,348
    Europe
    1Wizz AirHungary53.13.92224.61,462
    2Jet2UK57.92.811013.62,206
    3TransaviaNetherlands59.92.011610.51,491
    Southeast Asia
    1VietJet AirVietnam64.51.41078.2941
    2Singapore AirlinesSingapore66.70.90455.91,181
    3Lion AirIndonesia67.11.190.013.3828
    Latin America
    1JetSmartChile57.91.192.03.11,033
    2VolarisMexico58.82.01377.61,297
    3VivaAerobusMexico61.42.11579.11,069
    Transatlantic
    1Virgin AtlanticUK53.71.816.96.56,759
    2Air CanadaCanada54.92.724.414.46,108
    3Aer LingusIreland56.21.215.19.05,793
    Transpacific
    1Air CanadaCanada56.21.68.910.210,178
    2Delta Air LinesUSA57.51.911.36.19,945
    3Cathay PacificChina59.82.510.89.011,933

    Airlines Closing the Gap: Capacity Growth Without Emissions Growth

    Cirium’s 2025 review shows whether airlines are growing capacity faster than emissions. The table below ranks individual routes by the largest year-on-year reductions in CO2 per ASK and identifies the specific aircraft transition that drove each result. To qualify, a route must have operated at least 300 round trips in the year.

    The metric highlights carriers making measurable progress, not just those already operating efficient fleets. Korean Air recorded the largest long-haul route improvements globally, driven by the transition to next-generation aircraft on key transpacific routes.

    RankRouteCarrierYoY CO₂/ASK ImprovementCO₂/ASK 2025 (g)Fleet TransitionAvg. SeatsRoute Dist. (km)
    1ICN – SEAKorean Air-27.4%53.6777-300ERs → 787-9/10s3088,376
    2ICN – HNLKorean Air-22.4%52.3747-8s & 777-300ERs → 787-10s3277,354
    3JFK – DELAmerican Airlines-20.4%59.8777-300ERs → 787-9s28511,756
    4KEF – SEAIcelandair-20.3%57.9757-200s → A321neos1865,810
    5JFK – GRUAmerican Airlines-19.3%51.5777-200ERs → 787-9s2847,663
    6LHR – HKGBritish Airways-18.1%64.3777/787 family → A350-1000s3039,631
    7BOS – LHRDelta Air Lines-17.0%60.0A330-200s → A330-900neos2685,241
    8MSP – LHRDelta Air Lines-16.9%57.2A330-200s → A330-900neos2816,443
    9MUC – BOMLufthansa-16.4%55.5A340-600s → A350-900neos2936,312
    10HKG – CDGCathay Pacific-16.4%62.8777-300ERs → A350-900neos2879,590

    “The route-level data tells a clear story,” said Bowen. “When airlines swap older widebodies for next-generation aircraft, emissions per seat kilometre can fall by as much as 27 percent on that route within a year. This isn’t theoretical — we’re measuring it on real routes with real operational data.”

    About the EmeraldSky emissions report

    Now in its second year, Cirium’s EmeraldSky Annual Review evaluates airline emissions intensity using CO₂ per available seat kilometre (ASK), based on analysis of the world’s 100 largest scheduled passenger airlines.

    The 2025 edition also tracks year-on-year progress, measuring whether airlines are increasing capacity faster than emissions. The methodology uses flight-level operational data and is independently assured under ISAE 3000 by PwC. EmeraldSky is also accredited by the Rocky Mountain Institute as a qualified flight emissions data provider under the Pegasus Guidelines, the first climate-aligned finance framework for aviation.

    For more information, visit cirium.com or follow Cirium on LinkedIn.

    For Cirium media inquiries please contact media@cirium.com

  • How do you build a foundation for trustworthy aviation data?

    Aviation runs on complex, fast-moving data. Every decision requires high levels of precision, and the interconnected nature of the industry means that data quality impacts operational, financial, and safety outcomes.

    To address how organizations can manage this critical asset, Sarah Davis, VP for Data at Cirium, and Candice Parfitt, Head of Data Governance at Cirium, recently presented the Data Governance 101: Aviation Foundations webinar. They shared how Cirium structures its internal data governance and why establishing a solid data framework is essential for modern aviation operations.

    Key highlights

    • Trust is paramount: Data governance involves aligning the right people, processes, and technology to build reliable, accurate datasets.
    • AI requires a solid foundation: Artificial intelligence magnifies data issues. Effective AI governance starts with trustworthy underlying data.
    • Start small: Organizations should evaluate their maturity and tackle governance initiatives in small increments to provide immediate value.
    • Human oversight remains necessary: While AI can augment governance by detecting inconsistencies, human review is crucial for accountability and accuracy.

    Defining governance for aviation

    Aviation data must meet the same rigorous standards as the industry itself regarding reliability and safety. Poorly governed data creates significant exposure. Data governance is not about adding layers of bureaucracy; rather, it is a strategic necessity that defines how good data needs to be for specific use cases.

    Effective governance ensures that data management becomes an embedded practice rather than an afterthought. Organizations need to consider governance at the point of data inception. By implementing data literacy programs, companies can help their teams understand the connections between data quality, ethics, and responsible data use.

    The cost of inaction

    When data governance is absent, the first symptoms are usually confusion and a lack of trust in the numbers. Teams start working in silos, relying on tribal knowledge instead of a single source of truth.

    Without clear data ownership, issues bounce between departments. This creates operational friction and delays time-sensitive decisions. Over time, this lack of clarity prevents organizations from fully leveraging their data assets and makes it nearly impossible to scale advanced analytics or AI capabilities confidently.

    Real-world cases at Cirium

    Cirium applies these governance principles internally to maintain its data credibility. One key initiative is the introduction of Data Product Managers and Data Governance Councils. These roles provide strategic oversight and embed data governance throughout the organization. Data Product Managers build relationships across teams, foster trust, and explain the concrete value of data sharing.

    Even simple issues require governance. For instance, industry acronyms can carry different meanings depending on the department. Establishing agreed-upon definitions eliminates misunderstandings and aligns cross-functional teams. By partnering closely with product teams, Cirium identifies new use cases and ensures its data processes remain robust and relevant.

    The role of technology

    Technology operationalizes governance strategies. Cirium utilizes Collibra as a central platform to manage data governance at the appropriate level. A major focus is data observability—monitoring data quality continuously from the moment of ingestion all the way to product surfacing.

    For operational aviation data, such as flight times, there is rarely a single ground truth. Governance technologies help define authoritative sources for specific purposes while documenting differences in timing, scope, and context. Furthermore, while AI can suggest classifications and detect anomalies, it serves to augment rather than replace human oversight. AI systems will produce confident answers even if the input data is wrong, making a governed data foundation the prerequisite for any AI initiative.


    Building a mature data governance framework takes time, but the value of accurate, trustworthy data is clear. Tackling governance in thin slices allows organizations to build momentum and establish a culture of data literacy. By focusing on clear purposes and guidelines, the aviation industry can continue to improve through secure, reliable data sharing.

    To explore these strategies deeper and evaluate your own organization’s governance maturity, watch the full webinar recording on demand: Data Governance 101: Aviation Foundations.

  • How the Middle East conflict has hit daily flight hours

    Andrew Doyle
    Andrew Doyle

    Andrew Doyle, Senior Director – Market Development, Cirium

    With just over a week’s worth of utilisation data available since the Iran conflict began on 28 February, we can start to get a sense of the overall impact on daily flight hours trends for the global passenger jet fleet by airframe type and engine fit, writes Cirium Senior Director Market Development Andrew Doyle.

    Cirium fleet and tracking data can be used to calculate the year-on-year percentage changes in total tracked daily flying hours for some of the key aircraft/engine combinations, by comparing the seven-day rolling average for each day since late February 2026 with the equivalent day last year (364 days prior, to align days of the week).

    The chart below illustrates the effect the crisis has had on four-engined Airbus A380 and GE Aerospace GE90-powered Boeing 777 twinjet usage, given the large fleets flown by Middle Eastern carriers, although the lines are beginning to flatten out as Emirates in particular starts to recover its operations.

    Given the number of airlines that usually operate daily flights to Middle Eastern airports, most aircraft types have been negatively impacted to an extent, although for in-production models this has typically resulted in a dampening of year-on-year growth rather than an absolute reduction in total daily flight hours.

    It remains to be seen where these trend lines will settle if attacks continue over the coming days or weeks.

    Year-on-year % change in the seven-day rolling-average of total daily flight hours, by aircraft/engine

  • On-Time Performance as an Emissions Indicator

    Mike Malik, Chief Industry Officer, Cirium

    What the Research Actually Shows 

    Our team at Cirium spent months analyzing this relationship across three distance bands: short-haul routes under 1,500 kilometers, medium-haul between 1,500-3,999 kilometers, and long-haul over 4,000 kilometers. We compared July 2019 operations with July 2024. The Cirium EmeraldSky platform let us track 47 operational variables across more than 100,000 daily flights. Everything from gate times and runway waits to specific aircraft configurations and passenger loads. 

    The correlation was consistent where operational changes occurred.

    Routes with improved on-time performance showed measurable drops in flight times and emissions. 

    Routes with declining OTP showed the opposite: longer flights and higher emissions. The pattern held across different airlines and aircraft types. 

    Most emissions calculators rely on simple distance formulas. We’re tracking actual operational data. The factors that determine real fuel consumption. PwC independently verified the methodology to ISAE 3000 standards, which puts it among the most rigorous publicly available datasets on airline emissions. 

    Why Delays Create More Emissions 

    The mechanism is straightforward but often overlooked. Delayed aircraft burn fuel while accomplishing nothing productive. They sit on taxiways with engines running, waiting for clearance. They circle in holding patterns before landing. They take longer routes to dodge congestion. 

    Researchers Brueckner and Abreu quantified this over a 21-year study of 16 US airlines.

    Each percentage point increase in flights delayed more than 15 minutes correlated with a 0.3% jump in fuel consumption and emissions.

    In practice, an airline cutting its delay rate from 22% to 19% (just three percentage points) reduces fuel consumption by roughly 1%. The airlines in that study burned 13.7 billion gallons of jet fuel in 2015. At standard carbon pricing, a three-point improvement delivered $48 million in annual environmental benefits. It’s measurable impact from better operations. 

    Ground Operations Tell the Story 

    Much of the emissions penalty happens before takeoff. European air traffic management analysis (2015-2017) found that routing inefficiencies make flight paths 0.61-0.76% longer than optimal. That translated to 229,000 extra tonnes of fuel and 721,000 additional tonnes of CO₂. The equivalent of four full days of flying across the European Economic Area. 

    At London Heathrow during peak hours, about half the arriving aircraft enter holding patterns averaging six minutes each. During one January 2015 peak hour, those holding patterns alone produced 10 tonnes of CO₂ and 114 kilograms of nitrogen oxides. 

    The 20 most congested US airports generate 6 million metric tonnes of CO₂ annually just from aircraft taxiing. Research shows that eliminating taxi delays could cut overall flight fuel consumption by 1% on average, with some congested airports showing potential reductions up to 2%. 

    Solutions That Already Work 

    Continuous Descent Operations let aircraft descend smoothly with minimal engine thrust instead of the traditional step-down approach with level flight segments. 

    This saves an average of 51 kilograms of fuel per flight, with real-world operations achieving 3.6% fuel burn improvements.

    Full deployment across Europe could deliver 350,000 tonnes in annual fuel savings. 

    Airport Collaborative Decision-Making systems create transparent communication between airlines, ground handlers, and air traffic control. When 17 European airports put these platforms in place in 2016, they saw 7% reductions in taxi time, 10.3% drops in air traffic delays, and 102,700 tonnes of CO₂ saved. 

    The Gap Between Airlines 

    The airline industry improved its carbon output per passenger by 12% between 2013 and 2019. 

    Roughly 2% per year. The variation between carriers tells an interesting story. Our 2024 Flight Emissions Review shows low-cost carriers like Wizz Air (53.9 grams CO₂ per available seat-kilometer) and Frontier (54.4 g CO₂/ASK) substantially outperforming legacy carriers. 

    How they run their operations explains much of this gap. Low-cost carriers typically maintain higher load factors, operate uniform fleets, fly point-to-point networks, and refine procedures more rigorously. These same factors support both on-time performance and efficiency. 

    Why the 3% Matters Right Now 

    Getting aviation to net-zero by 2050 depends heavily on sustainable aviation fuels (65% of the solution) and new propulsion technologies (13%). Operational improvements? Just 3% of the long-term plan. 

    Sustainable fuel production won’t reach meaningful scale until the 2030s. Hydrogen and electric aircraft remain years away from commercial deployment. That makes the 3% from operational improvements the only immediate option for emissions reduction. 

    Better operations are the immediate option for emissions reduction. 

    No new technology required, just better execution of existing procedures. 

    When an airline publishes its on-time performance statistics, it’s revealing more than customer service quality. Those numbers provide a window into how well the airline runs, and that directly affects environmental impact. The data proves the connection. Better on-time performance means lower emissions per passenger. It’s something airlines can improve right now. 

    Report highlights

    If you haven’t read the complete 2024 EmeraldSky Flight Emissions Review, you can download it at the link below. We’re releasing the 2025 edition in early 2026. If you’d like early access when it’s available, scan the QR code below to register your interest and we’ll send it your way. 

    Sources 

    Cirium EmeraldSky Study (2024): Short-haul route analysis comparing July 2019 to July 2024 operations, tracking 47 operational variables across 100,000+ daily flights. Methodology independently verified to ISAE 3000 standard by PricewaterhouseCoopers. 

    Brueckner, J.K., and Abreu, C. “Airline Fuel Usage and Carbon Emissions: Determining Factors.” Journal of Air Transport Management, Vol. 62 (2017), pp. 10-17. Study of 16 US airlines over 1995-2015 period. 

    EUROCONTROL Performance Review Reports (2015-2017): European air traffic management inefficiency analysis, horizontal flight efficiency data, and holding pattern emissions studies. 

    EUROCONTROL A-CDM Impact Assessment (2016): Analysis of 17 European airports implementing Airport Collaborative Decision Making systems. Study developed by Atlas Chase for EUROCONTROL. 

    Cirium Flight Emissions Review (2024): Global airline emissions rankings using flight-specific operational data. Published July 2025. 

    IATA Global Aviation Data (2013-2019): Historical carbon intensity trends for commercial aviation. 

    Air Transport Action Group (ATAG): Waypoint 2050 (2nd Edition, September 2021). Aviation industry net-zero pathway analysis and decarbonization scenarios. 

  • Transforming investment strategy with granular aviation intelligence

    In an industry defined by high-value assets and complex operational variables, the difference between the certainty needed and the upside sought often lies in the depth of data available. While established financial analysis provides a baseline, it typically lacks the performance variables required to capitalize on market inefficiencies or model scenarios in asset performance accurately.

    For financial investors, navigating the current aviation landscape requires more than just capital; recent Cirium forecasts estimate 46,500 new aircraft worth $3.4 trillion will be delivered globally over the next 20 years. Such market scale amplifies the need for trusted, asset-level data that can be directly integrated into investment thesis. By leveraging Cirium’s proprietary analytics, investors gain a distinct advantage in deal structuring, risk management, scenario modeling, and portfolio optimization.

    Precision in deal origination and structuring

    For debt providers, structuring terms with relevant and granular deal specific data to gain an understanding of risk variables can be transformative. It removes the discomfort of relying on generalized market assumptions. Advanced analytics offer visibility into specific airlines, routes, and aircraft types, drilling down to exact aircraft and engine utilization.

    This level of detail allows for more accurate deal structuring. In place of relying on broad assumptions about asset depreciation, investors can manage investments by tracking performance on multi-level indicators – from airlines and micro- or macro-market dynamics through to exact asset utilization and understanding the CapEx on maintenance events.

    Cirium’s latest 20-year fleet forecast underscores the volume and value of deliveries. The magnitude of opportunity and risk for aviation financiers with single-aisle aircraft projected to account for 71% of the global fleet, understanding the nuances of these delivery patterns is critical for long-term financing.

    This precise data enables the customization of strategy to more accurately reflect the realized risk profile of the collateral. It moves the conversation from general market sentiment to empirical market and asset health overlain by your institutional view, reflecting the necessary pricing and lending covenants. Furthermore, private capital can utilize data-driven insights to facilitate faster and more accurate validation of investment theses, allowing focus on the highest-potential opportunities.

    Predictive power for risk mitigation

    Risk understanding in aviation finance does not yet embrace the anticipation of operational shifts that impact asset value. Hedge funds benefit significantly from predictive capabilities. By analyzing global fleet data, flight schedules, and historical utilization trends, investors (banks, Institutional Investors, NBFIs) can spot early warning signs that traditional financial analysis of creditworthiness might miss.

    The engine market challenge

    Today’s engine market presents unique risks and opportunities. While new-generation engines deliver greater fuel efficiency, they also bring higher fragility, maintenance costs and reliability challenges. Cirium data shows that maintenance costs for newer engine types are expected to remain above those for current-generation engines, despite ongoing advancements.

    As referenced in recent market observations, ongoing reliability issues have meant some airlines have parted-out relatively young aircraft to sustain fleet operations – a phenomenon driving up lease rates and values, especially for well-known engine types like the CFM56.

    For investors, this translates to:

    • Values spiking: Maintenance constraints and supply chain issues are escalating engine and part values.
    • Operational risk: Asset management now demands a nuanced approach, accounting for engine depreciation and secondary market volatility.

    With Cirium’s high-fidelity data, investors can now model and respond to these developments – adjusting exposure by scenario modeling adverse events impact on asset values. This predictive edge is especially critical for managing downside risk in illiquid environments.

    Operational value creation and exit timing

    The value of robust data and analytics extends well beyond the initial transaction. For asset managers and private equity firms, the post-acquisition phase is where returns are realized.

    Investors can track the operational KPIs of their investment in real-time and compare them against global benchmarks. This is crucial for identifying underperformance and implementing corrective strategies, whether it involves broadening the counterparties, ensuring lease agreements are market appropriate, or timing asset disposals and acquisitions to match market developments.

    Monitoring Demand Signals

    While recent fluctuations suggest softening US capacity growth, Cirium data confirms global demand remains solid, with scheduled Available Seat Kilometers (ASKs) growth holding between 4% and 6% throughout the year. This context is vital for portfolio positioning and ongoing investment in aviation.

    Regional disparities – such as the difference between US / Asia-Pacific / European markets – underscores the importance of up-to-date, granular data. Cirium’s schedules, aircraft utilization, traffic, valuations and sentiment insights support evidence-driven pricing and entry/exit timing, ensuring realized value accurately reflects expected investment returns.

    Bridging the gap between finance and operations

    Ultimately, the role of accurate aviation data is the bridge that connects financing requirements and operational or market realities. It is also the element that is often missing. Cirium’s data acts as this bridge, translating complex aviation metrics into actionable financial insights.

    This integration enables investors to move with greater agility and confidence, reducing reliance on anecdotal evidence and replacing it with a credible and independent source of truth that is respected across the industry. Whether deploying capital into infrastructure, managing a financial portfolio of aircraft, or trading aviation-backed securities, access to trusted data ensures that every decision is grounded in reality.

    By integrating Cirium’s intelligence and the latest sector-wide forecasts – including delivery pipelines, engine reliability trends, and global demand signals – financial investors are positioned not just to participate in the market, but to lead with clarity.

    Find out more about how Financial Investors use aviation data.

  • Avianca Scales Connectivity While Cutting Emissions

    In commercial aviation, growth and emissions usually move in the same direction. Airlines add more flights, burn more fuel, and produce more carbon. This pattern has held true for decades, which is why Avianca’s performance since 2019 is so striking.

    According to EmeraldSky data, Avianca stands apart from every other large carrier. During the past five years, the airline increased its overall capacity by more than eighteen percent (18.1%) while also reducing total carbon emissions by more than five percent (5.1%). This combination simply does not happen often.

    The natural question is how Avianca achieved something that most airlines still describe as a long-term aspiration rather than an immediate reality.

    A Fleet That Looks Very Different Today

    Every story about emissions begins with the fleet. Avianca made a series of bold and disciplined choices that reshaped the aircraft it flies. Nearly two thirds of its Airbus A319 aircraft left the operation along with its entire group of A321 aircraft. In their place the airline introduced a significantly larger number of A320neo aircraft and additional A320ceo aircraft.

    The long-haul operation changed as well. Older A330 aircraft departed while the Boeing 787 fleet grew. Avianca also left behind its regional jet and turboprop operations, choosing to simplify and focus on aircraft that deliver stronger fuel performance.

    One of the most important results is the increase in average aircraft size. The typical Avianca aircraft carried 144 seats in 2019. Today that figure is 181. This was achieved by reconfiguring all its fleet, both narrow and wide bodies airplanes. Although the average age of the fleet increased slightly to nine and a half years, which reflects global supply chain issues that affected all airlines, the overall efficiency of the fleet still improved meaningfully.

    More Seats and More Efficiency

    By 2024 Avianca had restored its flight activity to the same level it operated in 2019. The difference is that the airline generated far more capacity because it was flying larger aircraft and flying them slightly farther on average. The removal of turboprop flying also meant that flight time did not materially increase even as stage length grew.

    This resulted in an 18.1% increase in available seat kilometers. At the same time the shift toward newer and more efficient aircraft produced a reduction in absolute carbon emissions of 5.1%.

    When combined, these factors created a major improvement in carbon intensity. Avianca moved from 82.6 grams of carbon per available seat kilometer to 66.3 grams. This represents a reduction of nearly 20%, which very few global airlines have managed to achieve on this scale.

    A Model for Responsible Growth

    Avianca’s experience shows that it is possible to grow and still reduce the environmental impact of flying. It requires discipline in fleet planning, a willingness to retire older aircraft, and a long-term commitment to efficiency.

    The journey for the aviation industry is not finished, but Avianca has shown what is possible when strategy and execution come together with clarity of intent. The airline is not only growing. It is growing in a more responsible way, and that achievement deserves attention.

  • Istanbul Airport wins the 2025 Platinum Award

    Mike Malik, Chief Industry Officer, Cirium

    That infrastructure milestone, combined with sustained performance across the full year, has earned Istanbul Airport Cirium’s 2025 Platinum Award for the world’s best-performing airport. 

    Istanbul handles over 84 million passengers annually across 330 destinations through 116 airlines. Positioned at the crossroads of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, the airport manages dense connectivity patterns, complex wave structures, and high daily aircraft movements. At this intensity, minor disruptions propagate quickly across regions and time zones without active management. 

    In June 2025, ACI Europe’s Airport Industry Connectivity Report named Istanbul Airport the world’s most connected hub, overtaking Frankfurt after a 59% increase in global hub connectivity since 2019. The airport also leads Europe in direct connectivity. 

    The Platinum Award measures more than on-time departure percentages. Cirium’s analysis evaluates delay severity, the airport’s ability to limit prolonged disruption, and how effectively operations preserve schedule integrity across the wider network. Performance is assessed across the full calendar year, not isolated peak periods. 

    Istanbul distinguished itself through consistency across changing seasonal demand and varying congestion levels. The additional airside capacity reduced peak-period congestion and strengthened the airport’s ability to absorb disruption without allowing delays to escalate. 

    Large, complex airports inevitably face weather events, airspace constraints, and downstream delays. What separates strong operations from exceptional ones is the response when pressure builds. Istanbul’s 2025 performance reflected management that limited delay severity and reduced passenger disruption, even during peak demand. 

    The runway upgrade required coordination across multiple stakeholders. Airlines adjusted gate assignments and taxi procedures. Ground handlers modified turnaround sequencing. Air traffic control refined departure spacing. The capacity expansion delivered value because the airport’s operations adapted to use it effectively. 

    This achievement comes as airport performance faces increasing scrutiny. Passenger expectations continue rising, airline networks operate closer to capacity, and tolerance for disruption is diminishing. Airports now play a central role in safeguarding aviation system reliability, with their performance directly influencing airline outcomes and customer trust. 

    Cirium’s Platinum Airport Award provides an independent, data-driven benchmark for excellence. Using globally consistent methodologies and verified operational data, the award recognizes airports that deliver reliable performance at scale across an entire year. 

    By earning the 2025 Platinum Airport Award, Istanbul Airport demonstrates that scale and complexity can coexist with consistency and control. The combination of infrastructure investment and operational discipline sets a clear benchmark for major hub airports navigating sustained pressure on global aviation infrastructure. We congratulate Istanbul Airport’s management and operational teams for earning this prestigious distinction. 

  • The Red Bird Soars

    Lydia Webb, Marketing Director – Americas & Strategic Programs, Cirium

    In 2024, Virgin Atlantic reported an OTP of 74.02% and did not qualify for the top 20 ranking in the Europe region based on total flight volume. However, this year, the airline not only met the qualifications but also secured the #4 position in the region with an impressive 83.45% OTP across 26,359 flights; a 9.43 percentage points gain over last year.  This accomplishment extends beyond the European context, positioning Virgin Atlantic among the leading airlines globally. It further highlights the organization’s commitment to overcoming challenges and continuously improving its operational standards. 

    Virgin Atlantic consistently mainted high on-time performance scores throughout 2025, registering OTPs above 80% – except January and December.  The airline is committed to being a challenger and a leader in its field and have made significant investments in fleet modernization, premium experience for guests, its people, and the communities it serves. 

    A Year for Change 

    In 2025, Virgin Atlantic focused on improving its on-time performance and underwent major developments across the business. The airline formed new interline and codeshare agreement with Caribbean Airlines, expanded its network and also joined a strategic partnership with IndiGo, Delta Air Lines, and Air France-KLM to link India’s expanding economy with North America and Europe.  

    The airline also announced a partnership with Joby Aviation, to provide zero-emission, short-range trips between Virgin Atlantic’s hubs at Heathrow and Manchester Airport and other regional destinations. 

    To complete its fleet modernization initiative, Virgin Atlantic Airways secured $745 million in financing from Apollo-managed funds, leveraging its London Heathrow slots. The funds will strengthen the airline’s finances and support upgrades, including Boeing 787-9 refurbishments, new Airbus A330neo aircraft with expanded premium cabins and Retreat Suites from 2026, and fleet-wide Starlink-powered Wi-Fi.  Virgin Atlantic will be the first UK airline to introduce free, streaming-quality, unlimited Wi-Fi throughout its fleet, using Starlink technology, with rollout completing in 2027. 

    Leading Into The Future 

    Virgin Atlantic’s Board has announced that Shai Weiss will step down as CEO at the end of 2025, and Corneel Koster will take over the position. Koster, who was formerly Chief Customer and Operating Officer, played a key role in overseeing operations, enhancing customer experience, guiding the airline through the pandemic, introducing the A330neo aircraft, and advancing digital transformation initiatives. Under Koster’s leadership, the airline aims to keep its commitments and achieve new standards in operational performance. 

    A Job Well Done 

    In today’s highly competitive airline industry, maintaining an on-time performance above 80% for domestic, regional, and long-haul flights is no easy task—especially if the starting point falls short of that benchmark. Virgin Atlantic has demonstrated through its accomplishments why it stands out as both a challenger and an industry leader. The airline’s dedication to improvement has not gone unnoticed. Cirium extends its congratulations to the entire Virgin Atlantic team for earning the title of Most-Improved Airline of the year—a recognition that is truly well earned. We look forward to seeing even greater achievements in the future. 

  • Qatar Airways’ 2025 Platinum Performance: What the Data Shows 

    Mike Malik, Chief Industry Officer, Cirium

    The Platinum recognition goes to one carrier annually based on a proprietary algorithm that weighs reliability, operational precision, disruption recovery, and performance at scale. The question is straightforward: which airline demonstrates the strongest operational control and consistency when you look at the complete picture. 

    The Performance Case 

    Qatar Airways delivered 84.42 percent on-time performance in 2025 under Cirium’s methodology, up from 82.83 percent in 2024 across roughly 198,303 flights.

    That improvement matters because it came on top of an already strong base while maintaining completion factor close to 100 percent. Improving OTP when you’re already in the low 80s is harder than moving from the 70s—there’s less margin for gains, and the operational discipline required is tighter. 

    The scale context makes the numbers more meaningful. Qatar operates a tightly banked hub at Hamad International Airport serving over 170 destinations, running long haul and multistop journeys across multiple regions and time zones. Each connection bank multiplies operational risk because aircraft positioning, crew availability, passenger flows, and ground services all must align repeatedly throughout the day. Keeping delays and cancellations low in that environment requires precision that most network carriers struggle to maintain. 

    What Qatar Actually Did 

    The execution comes down to realistic planning and disciplined operations control. Qatar built turn times and connection windows that work in practice, not just on paper. When disruptions hit in 2025, including airspace constraints from geopolitical issues, weather volatility, and aircraft availability problems, the carrier protected key connection flows and used operational data to retime and reroute during irregular operations. 

    That approach kept cancellations low and gave passengers a higher probability of completing their journey as booked, even on difficult days. The completion factor numbers confirm this wasn’t theoretical; Qatar got passengers where they needed to go. 

    The A30 numbers tell the recovery story more clearly.  Qatar Airways maintains one of the lowest A30 rates among global network carriers which means very few flights arrive more than 30 minutes late. That metric reveals operational discipline that goes beyond preventing delays; it’s about containing them when they occur. In a banked hub operation where one delay can cascade through multiple connections, keeping severe delays low requires tight control over recovery decisions such as aircraft swaps, crew repositioning, passenger reprotection, and ground coordination. Qatar’s A30 performance indicates they’re making those decisions well under pressure, consistently. 

    The operational focus appears to be a deliberate priority backed by investment in schedule planning, day of operations control, and analytics capabilities. You can see it in how Hamad International’s operations coordinate with the airline’s schedule, and the hub has grown over the past few years without the reliability of degradation that typically comes with expansion.  

    What This Signals 

    Looking at 2025’s operational data across global carriers, Qatar’s performance demonstrates that a large, complex network can still be run with discipline and predictability in a volatile environment. That’s not a given anymore. Many network carriers have accepted that operational variability is simply the cost of scale and complexity. 

    Qatar’s numbers suggest otherwise. The combination of high OTP, near-perfect completion, and performance improvement year over year at this scale indicates that operational control remains achievable when it’s treated as non-negotiable rather than a metric to track. 

    For the industry, that’s the real takeaway. Network complexity and operational volatility are facts, but they don’t have to determine outcomes. Qatar Airways proved that in 2025. 

  • Aeromexico Named Most On-Time Airline; Qatar Airways Wins Platinum

    LONDON (Jan. 2, 2026) – Aeromexico maintained a 90.02% on-time performance to claim the world’s most on-time global airline title for the second consecutive year, according to Cirium’s 2025 On-Time Performance Review released today. 

    The Mexican carrier becomes only the second airline to achieve consecutive global wins since Cirium launched the program in 2009, operating 188,859 flights across 23 countries while maintaining industry-leading schedule reliability.

    Aeromexico Holds Global Lead; Regional Champions Crowned 

    Aeromexico secured the global airline title with 90.02% on-time performance, holding off strong competition from Saudia in second place with 86.53% and SAS with 86.09% in third. The margin between first and third place was 3.93 percentage points, reflecting rising operational standards across the industry. 

    Regional winners included: 

    • North America: Delta Air Lines won for the fifth consecutive year with 80.90% on-time performance 
    • Europe: Iberia Express (International Airlines Group) defended its title for the third consecutive year with 88.94% performance
    • Asia-Pacific: Philippine Airlines claimed the regional title for the first time with 83.12% on-time performance
    • Latin America: Copa Airlines achieved its 11th win, the most of any airline since Cirium’s program launched in 2009 with 90.75% on-time performance 
    • Middle East and Africa: Safair topped the regional rankings with 91.06% on-time performance

    Qatar Airways Wins Airline Platinum Award 

    Qatar Airways captured Cirium’s Platinum Award, recognizing the Doha-based carrier’s operational excellence across its global hub network. The airline achieved 84.42% on-time performance across more than 198,303 flights spanning six continents. 

    Virgin Atlantic Claims Inaugural ‘Most Improved’ Award 

    Virgin Atlantic won Cirium’s new ‘Most Improved’ award, demonstrating the largest year-over-year operational performance gain among global carriers. The UK-based airline improved its on-time performance from 74.02% in 2024 to 83.45% in 2025—a 9.44 percentage point increase year-over-year. 

    The new award recognizes airlines that have achieved meaningful operational scale (minimum 70% baseline performance) while delivering substantial improvements, ensuring the honor reflects genuine operational excellence, rather than recovery from poor prior performance. 

    Strong Global Airport Performance in 2025 

    Santiago Arturo Merino Benitez International Airport wins the Large Airport category, with 87.04% of flights departing on time.

    Panama’s Tocumen International Airport won the Medium Airport category, with 93.34% of flights departing on time. Ecuador’s Guayaquil José Joaquín de Olmedo International Airport claimed the Small Airport title for the second year in a row, with 91.47% of flights departing on time. 

    Istanbul Airport won Cirium’s Airport Platinum Award, which evaluates operational complexity, passenger impact during disruptions, and growth trajectory. Last year’s Airport Platinum winner was El Dorado International Airport in Bogotá, Colombia. 

    Industry Context and Analysis 

    About the On-Time Performance Review 

    Now in its 17th year, the Cirium On-Time Performance Review analyzes flight data from over 600 real-time sources including airlines, airports, global distribution systems, and civil aviation authorities. An independent advisory board of aviation industry veterans provides oversight and guidance. 

    An on-time flight arrives within 14:59 minutes of scheduled gate arrival time. Airport punctuality measures flights departing within 14:59 minutes of scheduled departure time. The Platinum Awards for both airlines and airports consider operational complexity, network scale, passenger impact during disruptions, and consistency throughout the year. 

    The Most Improved award, introduced in 2025, requires carriers to demonstrate at least 70% baseline on-time performance in the prior year to ensure recognition reflects operational excellence rather than recovery from poor performance. 

    Complete 2025 Rankings 

    Top 10 Global Airlines

    RankingAirlineOn-Time ArrivalsTotal Flights
    1(AM) Aeromexico90.02%188,859
    2(SV) Saudia86.53%202,864
    3(SK) SAS86.09%249,674
    4(AD) Azul85.18%304,625
    5(QR) Qatar Airways84.42%198,303
    6(IB) Iberia83.52%188,447
    7(LA) LATAM Airlines82.40%580,707
    8(AV) Avianca81.73%266,921
    9(TK) Turkish Airlines81.41%421,087
    10(DL) Delta Air Lines80.90%1,800,086

    Top 10 North American Airlines

    RankingAirlineOn-Time ArrivalsTotal Flights
    1(DL) Delta Air Lines80.90%1,800,086
    2(AS) Alaska Airlines79.20%453,031
    3(NK) Spirit Airlines78.83%218,265
    4(UA) United Airlines78.77%1,732,450
    5(WN) Southwest Airlines77.04%1,422,405
    6(AA) American Airlines76.43%2,259,576
    7(B6) JetBlue74.66%313,318
    8(WS) WestJet73.58%205,501
    9(AC) Air Canada73.26%383,819
    10(F9) Frontier Airlines72.14%208,987

    Top 10 European Airlines

    RankingAirlineOn-Time ArrivalsTotal Flights
    1(I2) Iberia Express88.94%37,119
    2(SK) SAS86.09%249,674
    3(OS) Austrian83.74%124,457
    4(IB) Iberia83.52%188,447
    5(VS) Virgin Atlantic83.45%26,359
    6(FI) Icelandair83.23%39,425
    7(VY) Vueling82.20%228,611
    8(TK) Turkish Airlines81.41%421,090
    9(D8, DY) Norwegian80.96%150,784
    10(AY) Finnair79.67%116,652

    Top 9 Latin American Airlines 

    RankingAirlineOn-Time ArrivalsTotal Flights
    1(CM) Copa Airlines90.75%133,748
    2(AM) Aeromexico90.02%188,859
    3(G3) Gol87.75%238,182
    4(AD) Azul85.18%304,625
    5(LA) LATAM Airlines82.40%580,707
    6(H2) Sky Airline82.39%55,116
    7(AV) Avianca81.73%266,921
    8(JA) JetSmart Chile76.91%90,460
    9(AR) Aerolineas Argentinas76.54%107,490
    Only 9 airlines qualified in the region  

    Top 10 Asia-Pacific Airlines

    RankingAirlineOn-Time ArrivalsTotal Flights
    1(PR) Philippine Airlines83.12%116,268
    2(NZ) Air New Zealand79.29%171,216
    3(NH) ANA78.88%309,998
    4(SQ) Singapore Airlines78.58%121,293
    5(JL) JAL78.25%313,410
    6(6E) IndiGo78.12%802,418
    7(CX) Cathay Pacific76.78%119,193
    8(VA) Virgin Australia76.54%155,038
    9(QF) Qantas76.51%276,859
    10(KE) Korean Air75.34%133,252

    Top 10 Middle East and Africa Airlines 

    RankingAirlineOn-Time ArrivalsTotal Flights
    1(FA) Safair91.06%62,805
    2(RJ) Royal Jordanian90.73%37,524
    3(F3) Flyadeal86.54%69,971
    4(SV) Saudia86.53%202,864
    5(4Z) Airlink84.47%84,361
    6(QR) Qatar Airways84.42%198,303
    7(WY) Oman Air83.10%38,828
    8(SA) South African Airways81.26%24,461
    9(EY) Etihad Airways81.06%100,620
    10(KU) Kuwait Airways79.50%29,977

    Top 10 Large Airports

    RankingAirportOn-Time DeparturesTotal Flights
    1(SCL) Santiago Arturo Merino Benitez Intl Airport87.04%153,326
    2(RUH) Riyadh King Khalid International Airport86.81%264,614
    3(MEX) Mexico City Benito Juarez International Airport86.55%295,737
    4(HNL) Honolulu International Airport86.51%156,139
    5(OSL) Oslo Gardermoen Airport86.00%204,882
    6(LIM) Lima Jorge Chavez International Airport85.54%183,137
    7(SLC) Salt Lake City International Airport85.04%243,848
    8(CPH) Copenhagen Airport84.72%236,903
    9(DOH) Doha Hamad International Airport84.70%251,864
    10(ARN) Stockholm Arlanda Airport83.59%181,238

    Top 10 Medium Airports

    RankingAirportOn-Time DeparturesTotal Flights
    1(PTY) Panama City Tocumen International Airport93.34%148,065
    2(BSB) Brasilia International Airport88.36%114,481
    3(JNB) Johannesburg O.R. Tambo International Airport86.22%189,542
    4(ITM) Osaka Itami International Airport86.04%136,489
    5(DMM) Dammam King Fahd International Airport85.15%94,768
    6(GIG) Rio de Janeiro Galeao International Airport85.13%115,384
    7(PDX) Portland International Airport85.02%159,964
    8(VCP) Viracopos-Campinas International Airport84.55%111,758
    9(SJC) San Jose Mineta International Airport83.66%99,182
    10(CNF) Belo Horizonte International Airport83.57%113,857

    Top 10 Small Airports

    RankingAirportOn Time DeparturesTotal Flights
    1(GYE) Guayaquil Jose Joaquin de Olmedo Intl Airport91.47%34,068
    2(SAL) El Salvador International Airport90.28%47,203
    3(SDU) Rio de Janeiro Santos Dumont Airport89.67%58,303
    4(SVG) Stavanger Airport89.55%38,894
    5(UIO) Quito Mariscal Sucre International Airport89.45%42,911
    6(CPT) Cape Town International Airport88.72%82,030
    7(KOA) Ellison Onizuka Kona Intl Airport at Keahole88.48%32,702
    8(SSA) Salvador International Airport87.32%55,594
    9(TRD) Trondheim Airport86.95%47,291
    10(AMM) Amman Queen Alia International Airport86.82%76,734

    Cirium’s full 2025 On-Time Performance Review is available at www.cirium.com/on-time-performance.


    For Cirium media inquiries please contact media@cirium.com

    Notes to editors 
    *An on-time flight is defined as a flight that arrives within 15 minutes of the scheduled gate arrival. For an airport, it is defined as departing within 15 minutes of its scheduled departure. 

    About Cirium 
    Cirium® is the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics. The company delivers powerful data and cutting-edge analytics to empower a wide spectrum of industry players. It equips airlines, airports, travel enterprises, aircraft manufacturers, and financial entities with the clarity and intelligence they need to optimize their operations, make informed decisions, and accelerate revenue growth. 

    Cirium® is part of LexisNexis® Risk Solutions, a RELX business, which provides information-based analytics and decision tools for professional and business customers.  The shares of RELX PLC are traded on the London, Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchanges using the following ticker symbols: London: REL; Amsterdam: REN; New York: RELX. 

    For more information, follow Cirium® on LinkedIn or visit cirium.com.

  • Future Flight: Transforming Travel with Aviation Analytics

    After a period of significant disruption, global travel demand has not only returned but is also setting a new trajectory. Growth is now driven by resilient structural demand, evolving passenger expectations, and ongoing supply-side pressures. For operators, the imperative is clear: data-driven strategies are essential to achieve operational efficiency, enhance future readiness, and improve the passenger journey in a rapidly shifting market. 

    The Cirium webinar, Future Flight: Shaping Traveler Experiences with Aviation Analytics, explored forces shaping commercial aviation as the industry approaches 2026. Drawing on insights from panelists representing various aviation sectors and the latest aviation data, the session covered the global demand outlook, operational responses to emerging pressures, and the expanding role of aviation analytics in strengthening airport resilience and enhancing the passenger experience.  

    The global travel outlook: a new trajectory 

    The outlook for global air travel has shifted as the industry moves beyond pandemic recovery. Global revenue passenger-kilometers (RPKs) have surpassed 2019 levels, reflecting strong demand. However, the industry still trails its pre-covid growth trajectory, representing about four years of lost progress.  

    The rapid growth seen after borders reopened has eased, and demand is being driven by fundamental market forces than by deferred travel. In this climate,  commercial aviation is forging a distinctly new path.  

    An uneven recovery landscape 

    Joanna Lu from Cirium Ascend Consultancy presented 2026 Travel Market: Robust demand in a constrained operating environment 


    While there is a macro picture of strong growth, the patterns remain uneven between markets.  

    Capacity on transatlantic and Europe–Asia routes has surpassed pre-pandemic benchmarks, while in contrast, transpacific traffic and China’s international network still lag compared to 2019 levels. This divergence highlights the impact of persistent structural factors, such as strategic fleet deployment, changing traveler behavior, and ongoing geopolitical challenges.  

    The evolving traveler: new demands and behaviors 

    Demand drivers are shifting. Surveys consistently highlight a growing emphasis on unique travel experiences, even as inflation acts as a headwind for some travelers. Moreover, flexible and hybrid work patterns continue to blur the line between leisure and business trips, creating more diverse travel profiles and shifting travel seasonality.  

    Alongside these behavioral shifts, the rise of Asia’s expanding middle class—particularly in India and Southeast Asia—is fueling demand growth. Visiting Friends and Relatives (VFR) travel remains a key driver, offering a resilient source of underlying traffic as other segments fluctuate. Combined with the ongoing trend toward short-haul regional journeys, these factors are prompting airlines and airports to revisit network structures and tailor their offerings to better match these evolving passenger expectations.  

    The operational imperative: reliability in an era of growth 

    As network capacity expands to meet renewed demand, maintaining operational reliability continues to be a key challenge. Forecasts for the first quarter of 2026 indicate a 5% increase in capacity across Asia, equating to about 31 million additional passengers. 

    While this demonstrates strong market momentum, it places more pressure on infrastructure, processes, and resources that are already under strain.  

    Leading the panel discussion was Ellis Taylor of Cirium joined by colleague Hamsin Nashrudin, and guest speakers Anthony Cicuttini from Brisbane Airport and Nate Srinath from Inxee.


    Despite network expansion continuing reliability remains a central concern. Cirium data shows that flight cancellation rates in 2025 remain above the pre-pandemic baseline of roughly 1–1.5%. Even a small uptick results in tens of thousands of additional monthly cancellations, directly affecting passenger experience and operational stability. As the sector scales up, reinforcing reliability shifts from operational concern to a strategic priority – and a key competitive advantage.  

    Ongoing supply chain challenges and aircraft delivery delays are set to further constrain available fleet growth, despite infrastructure investments. The recent addition of airports in markets such as Navi Mumbai and Noida adds needed capacity, but these projects must be matched with adequate aircraft resources and integrated networks to realize their full benefits. 

    Driving operational efficiency in aviation 

    Airports are responding to capacity and reliability pressures by leveraging advanced analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) to streamline operations, alongside strategic infrastructure enhancements.  

    The emphasis is on maximizing efficiency from existing assets, while new facilities like Navi Mumbai and Noida expand capacity. However, technology and infrastructure must advance together to achieve measurable improvements in performance.  

    From docking systems to intelligent hubs 

    A clear example of this transition is the evolution of Visual Docking Guidance Systems (VDGS). Once limited to basic stand guidance, next-generation VDGS platforms now serve as intelligent operational nodes. AI enables these systems to go beyond traditional roles by automating billing with precise arrival timestamps and reducing revenue discrepancies from manual reporting. This digital transformation helps resolve longstanding operational inefficiencies and lays a foundation for broader process innovation.  

    Critically, these intelligent platforms are transforming airport turnaround performance by capturing granular timestamps for each step of the process, creating robust datasets for targeted operational analysis—from chocks-on and aerobridge placement to passenger transfer, refueling, and baggage movement. Ready access to these detailed metrics empowers teams to identify bottlenecks and inefficiencies, supporting continuous improvement in processes and asset utilization.  

    Enhancing safety and efficiency 

    AI-enabled systems also play a crucial role in enhancing airside safety. The latest smart VDGS platforms can automatically identify aircraft types and verify wingtip clearance during docking, reducing collision risk and protecting operational integrity. By streamlining processes and improving reliability, these technologies strengthen the resilience of the airport environment.  

    Brisbane Airport: a case study in data-driven strategy 

    With traffic projected to reach 35 million passengers over the next decade, Brisbane Airport (BNE) uses Cirium’s FM Traffic and SRS Analyzer to conduct data-driven assessments that allow it to proactively manage its relationships with airlines, and make infrastructure investment decisions. 

    Using Cirium’s FM Traffic and SRS Analyser, BNE compares individual routes across an airline’s portfolio and identify opportunities for new services or increased frequency by combining real-time passenger flow with detailed schedules. 

    This analytical approach reshapes how BNE develops airline partnerships. Rather than relying on anecdotal feedback, the airport enables collaborative, evidence-based discussions on network performance and shared opportunities. They effectively identify key drivers and co-develop actionable strategies—whether refining capacity allocation or launching targeted joint marketing campaigns. 

    Building the Future of Air Travel

    Successfully navigating this landscape requires adopting integrated, intelligence-led operational models. Aviation analytics now underpin decision-making across key areas—demand forecasting, network optimization, turnaround management, and safety protocols. Embedding data-driven insights into strategy and execution enables stakeholders to respond proactively to changing conditions, mitigate disruptions, and chart a path toward resilient, efficient, and effective operations.  

    In the evolving landscape of commercial aviation, organizations that put analytics at the core of their operations are best positioned for long-term success. The future of air travel will be defined not just by volume, but by how intelligently and efficiently each journey is enabled.   

    Airports and airlines that leverage real-time intelligence and predictive analytics drive operational excellence, strengthen network resilience, and consistently deliver a reliable, seamless passenger experience.

    Watch the Webinar on Demand 

    The full webinar is now available on demand, along with the presentation deck. Watch it here.